The Pitfalls of Inductive Reasoning in Sports Betting
When it comes to sports betting, particularly in the NFL, many gamblers fall prey to the allure of simplistic reasoning. One common misconception is believing that if you can pick the outright winner of a game, you're likely to have picked the winner against the spread as well. This notion is often...
Inside The College Football Boxscores Week 7 - Part 3
Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. Florida Atlantic 53, UAB 33 Florida Atlantic forced a three and out to open the game and went 64 yards in eight plays to take a 7-0...
Inside The College Football Boxscores Week 7 - Part 2
Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. James Madison 24, Louisiana 14 After a scoreless first quarter, Louisiana struck first with a six-play, 80-yard touchdown drive and...
Inside The College Football Boxscores Week 7 - Part 1
Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. Missouri State 22, Middle Tennessee 20 This was a back and forth game throughout that ended up coming down to the kicking game....
The Rarity of NFL Dogs of 8.5 or more points that win the game outright
Last night, October 2, the San Francisco 49ers, which was my top-rated 7-Unit best bet, were priced as 8.5-point underdogs and won the game outright over their divisional rival LA Rams. I had recommended a sprinkle of not more than 2 units on the money line too and it worked out very well and...
Inside The College Football Boxscores Week 5 - Part 3
Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. Old Dominion 21, Liberty 7 The first half could not have gone worse for Liberty as a promising 54-yard kickoff return to open the game...
Inside The College Football Boxscores Week 5 - Part 2
Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. ULM 28, Arkansas State 16 Arkansas St. opened the game by intercepting a pass three plays in and returned it 32 yards for a touchdown...
Inside The College Football Boxscores Week 5 - Part 1
Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. East Carolina 28, Army 6 East Carolina scored touchdowns on each of its first three possessions amassing 216 yards in the first quarter...
Inside The College Football Boxscores Week 4 - Part 3
Fargo looks past the top line scores and goes deep into the box scores to get a better picture of what really happened for all of the FBS games the past weekend. Marshall 42, Middle Tennessee 28 After a punt and an interception in the first five plays of the game, Marshall and Middle Tennessee...
Best and Worst College Football Teams to Bet in 2025 (Ranked by Margin of Cover)
Every sports bettor knows Against the Spread (ATS) records matter, but to really uncover betting value you have to dig into the Margin of Cover (ATS +/-). This number shows not just if a team covered, but by how much they beat or missed the line. So far in the 2025 season, here are the programs...