Alex Smart CFL Picks Archive

Date	Match Up	Score	Result	Profit	Lead Time	Analysis
07-27-24	Winnipeg v. Toronto UNDER 48.5	14-16	Win	100	8 h 7 m	Show

07-20-24	Toronto v. Hamilton +2.5	24-27	Win	100	9 h 6 m	Show
Hamilton (0-5) takes on arch-rival Toronto (3-2) at Tim Hortons Field tonight. There are six former Argos with Hamilton and all would love to snatch a win here tonight from their Ontario adversaries. Im expecting a very motivated and maybe desperate Ti Cats team to play a top tier game here at home and at the very least get us the cover. The Ticats are 0-5 SU and ATS despite ranking second in the league in yards per game (391.6) and third in yards per play (6.84) and should not be under estimated here this evening vs a team off a huge win last time out , and in a letdown spot. Play on Hamilton to cover
07-12-24	Calgary v. Winnipeg -4.5	37-41	Loss	-115	12 h 24 m	Show
Calgary won the first matchup between the two teams two weeks ago by a score of 22-19. However, Im betting on a reversal here . as Im expecting the Bombers to set up a slew offensive opportunities and damage with an aggressive run game. The Bombers RB Brady Oliveira is off his best outing of the season, carrying the rock 23 times on the ground accumulating 129 yards last time out in a Bombers win. Im betting on more of that type of action today against a Calgary D allowing 103.5 yards per game and a league-worst 6.1 yards per attempt. It must also be noted that Stampeders QB Jake Maier has not been consistent against Winnipeg's defense in recent starts. I know Calgary found a way past Winnipeg in Week 4, but it must be noted that Maier averaged just 5.6 yards per pass for 239 yards and in 3 previous attempts prior to that last season never had more than 200 yards passing vs the Bombers. Also despite of being just 1-4 on the season, thanks to a Grey Cup appearance hangover and a massive injury lis tthe the Bombers still own a very tough defense, ranking first in opponent completion percentage (64.1% ) and second in passing yards allowed (251.0). The Blue Bombers are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 head-to-head meetings. Stampeders are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in July.Blue Bombers are 35-15-1 ATS in their last 51 home games.Blue Bombers are 37-18 ATS in their last 55 vs. West. Play on Winnipeg to cover
06-09-24	BC v. Toronto +6	27-35	Win	100	33 h 33 m	Show
The nine-game suspension of reigning MOP QB Chad Kelly has tainted this line as Cameron Dukes has proven himself behind the league's best offensive line. Last season in two starts , he completed 17-of-24 passes for 231 yards vs a top tier Winnipeg D and than racked up 317 yards in the regular season final vs Ottawa. Value here on this line , with the home side getting points. Dinwiddie is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games in the first half of the season as the coach of TORONTO. Dinwiddie is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 as the coach of TORONTO.Dinwiddie is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home lined games as the coach of TORONTO. Argonauts are 20-8-2 ATS in their last 30 home games.Argos are 2-0 SU L/2 at home in this series. Play on Toronto
07-23-23	Ottawa +5 v. Calgary	43-41	Win	100	10 h 55 m	Show
CALGARY is 2-11 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons.CALGARY is 2-9 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons. CFL favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) - off a win over a division rival, in July games are 17-50 ATS L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate.