Free College Football Picks

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Indiana vs Ohio State 
Noon ET, Saturday, November 23 
5-Unit bet on the Over currently priced at 52.5 points. 

What's at Stake 

This Saturday, No. 2 Ohio State will host No. 5 Indiana in a highly anticipated matchup with significant implications for the Big Ten Championship and College Football Playoff race. A win for Indiana would likely secure their spot in the Big Ten Championship game, while Ohio State needs this win to keep their championship hopes alive. 

History of the Matchup 

Ohio State leads the all-time series against Indiana, with 71 wins to Indiana's 25. However, Indiana has been a much stronger opponent in recent years, and this will be their first-ever top five matchup. 

Team Statistics 

Ohio State: 9-1 overall, 6-1 in the Big Ten. They are averaging 40.2 points per game and have a strong defense, ranking 1st nationally in success rate. 

Indiana: 10-0 overall, 7-0 in the Big Ten. They are averaging 40.2 points per game and have a top-ranked offense, ranking 2nd in success rate. 

Stars and Their Stats 

Ohio State: 

Kurtis Rourke (QB): 2,800 passing yards, 28 touchdowns. 

Justice Ellison (RB): 1,200 rushing yards, 15 touchdowns. 

Elijah Sarratt (WR): 1,000 receiving yards, 10 touchdowns. 

Indiana: 

Ty Son Lawton (RB): 1,500 rushing yards, 18 touchdowns. 

Omar Cooper Jr. (WR): 950 receiving yards, 9 touchdowns. 

Myles Price (WR): 900 receiving yards, 8 touchdowns. 

The College Football Betting Algorithm 

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 20-8 Over record good for 71.4% winning bets since 2006. The requirements needed to meet the situation for a wager to be executed are: 

Bet the Over in a game with a price between 45 and 57 points. 

The game is NOT being played at a neutral site. 

One of the team's average points scored added to what the opponent allows per game is 24 or more points higher than the posted total. 

The game occurs from week 10 on to the end of the season. 

If both teams are ranked in the top 25 of the most recent polls has seen the Over produce a 16-6 result for 73% winning bets.  

The following NCAA Football betting algorithm has produced a 20-8 Over record good for 71.4% winning bets since 2006. The requirements needed to meet the situation for a wager to be executed are: 

Bet the Over priced between 49.5 and 56 points. 

The home team is coming off two or more consecutive Under results. 

The home team is averaging 31 or more points per game. 

The Live Betting Strategies 

Consider betting 70% on the OVER preflop (now) and then once the game starts look for a modestly slower than expected start to the game. Both teams will be looking to minimize mistakes early and the style of play may be more methodical than anything else with so much at stake in this game. If the total drops to 47.5 or fewer points during the first half of action dd the remaining 30% of your bet amount. 

Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on Minnesota plus the points over Penn State at 3:30 pm ET on Saturday.

Minnesota enters this matchup well-rested following its bye week, which came after a 26-19 loss at Rutgers. The Golden Gophers are sitting at five FBS wins and will be highly motivated to secure bowl eligibility with just two games remaining, the second being a tough road matchup against Wisconsin. This is a pivotal opportunity for them to notch a critical win.

Penn State is coming off a dominant 49-10 victory over Purdue, continuing its strong season. However, this matchup could be a potential letdown spot following such a high-scoring, lopsided win. While the Nittany Lions' offense has been rolling, Minnesota's defense, which has held its own for much of the season, could make it harder for Penn State to extend drives and finish with touchdowns consistently.

While Penn State won decisively the last time these teams met two years ago, Minnesota’s experience and ability to control the tempo could help keep this game competitive. Expect the Gophers to lean on their rushing attack and opportunistic defense to hang tough. The extra preparation time should also be an advantage for Minnesota in this spot.

Take Minnesota. Projected score: Penn State 27, Minnesota 20.