Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-19-25 | Rams v. Eagles -6 | Top | 22-28 | Push | 0 | 17 h 47 m | Show |
Divisional Round Game of the Year. My selection is on Philadelphia minus the points over Los Angeles at 3 pm ET on Sunday. This is a tough spot for the Rams, who must travel cross-country on a short week after their Monday night 'upset' victory over the Vikings. The physical and emotional toll of that game, combined with the travel, puts Los Angeles at a disadvantage against a well-rested and focused Eagles squad. Philadelphia has already proven its superiority over the Rams with a decisive road victory earlier in the season. Now, the Eagles return home, where they’ve been a dominant force this season, buoyed by their relentless defense and potent ground game. The forecasted cold, windy, and snowy conditions are likely to favor the Eagles' style of play, which emphasizes controlling the line of scrimmage and pounding the football. Expect Philadelphia to stick to its strengths and wear down the Rams, capitalizing on their travel fatigue and the challenging weather conditions to secure a convincing victory and advance to the NFC Championship Game. Take Philadelphia. Projected score: Philadelphia 27, Los Angeles 16. |
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01-18-25 | Arizona State +9.5 v. Cincinnati | Top | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 18 h 34 m | Show |
Big 12 Game of the Week. My selection is on Arizona State plus the points over Cincinnati at 2 pm ET on Saturday. Arizona State may be on a three-game slide, but that stretch has come against quality opponents, reflecting the far tougher schedule the Sun Devils have faced compared to Cincinnati this season. Despite an ATS loss to Central Florida earlier this week, Arizona State remains a resilient squad with the tools to bounce back in this spot. Cincinnati comes into this matchup riding high after snapping a four-game losing streak with a win and cover against Colorado on Wednesday. However, that result could set up a potential letdown as the Bearcats face another challenge just three days later. Given Arizona State’s ability to compete against stronger competition and Cincinnati’s inconsistency, this contest has all the makings of a closely fought game. Look for the Sun Devils to keep things tight from start to finish. Take Arizona State. Projected score: Cincinnati 70, Arizona State 68. |
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01-17-25 | Grizzlies v. Spurs UNDER 239.5 | Top | 140-112 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
Southwest Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Memphis and San Antonio at 9:40 pm ET on Friday. While both teams are coming off high-scoring performances and have trended toward the 'over' in recent games, I anticipate a shift in pace and defensive intensity in this rematch. Memphis, despite its recent stretch of 'over' results, has shown defensive consistency by holding four of its last five opponents to 41 or fewer made field goals. That defensive capability will likely come into play here. Additionally, San Antonio, which has struggled defensively in stretches, is capable of tightening up. The Spurs had held nine of their previous 11 opponents to 44 or fewer made field goals before Wednesday’s game. That poor showing defensively likely serves as a wake-up call as they aim to limit Memphis’ shooting efficiency, which was an unsustainable 51-for-103 in the last meeting. Expect both teams to make adjustments and this game to trend lower-scoring compared to their recent clash. Take the 'under.' Projected score: Memphis 115, San Antonio 106. |
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01-16-25 | Rutgers v. Nebraska -9 | Top | 85-82 | Loss | -108 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
Big Ten Favorite of the Month. My selection is on Nebraska minus the points over Rutgers at 9 pm ET on Thursday. We'll back Nebraska as it looks to bounce back in a favorable spot at home following a tough two-game skid, including a blowout loss at Purdue on Sunday. Despite the recent struggles, the Cornhuskers boast a solid 12-4 straight-up record this season and have shown the ability to respond well in situations like this, particularly on their home court. Rutgers, meanwhile, is coming off a noteworthy 'upset' win over UCLA at home on Monday. While impressive on the surface, that victory merely snapped a three-game losing streak both straight-up and against the spread. The Scarlet Knights have been inconsistent this season and now find themselves in a challenging road environment, where their performance has often dipped. Look for Nebraska to regroup, seize control of this game, and deliver a strong performance to cover the spread. Take Nebraska. Projected score: Nebraska 79, Rutgers 65. |
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01-16-25 | Capitals v. Senators OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Washington and Ottawa at 7 pm ET on Thursday. While recent trends point heavily to the 'under' for both of these teams, I anticipate a higher-scoring affair in this matchup. The Capitals have seen each of their last four games stay 'under' the total, but they remain one of the league's better offensive teams on the road, averaging 3.7 goals per contest. Meanwhile, Ottawa is riding a six-game 'under' streak, with the 'under' cashing in eight of its last 10 games overall ('under' has gone 8-0-2 over that stretch). However, the Sens have shown scoring potential on home ice, averaging 3.3 goals per game. Both squads have recently faced defensively-inclined opponents, but this matchup sets up differently. With the Capitals likely to push the pace and Ottawa capable of responding on home ice, I expect both teams to contribute to a relatively high-scoring contest. Take the 'over.' Projected score: Washington 4, Ottawa 3. |
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01-15-25 | Texas v. Oklahoma -2.5 | Top | 77-73 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Month. My selection is on Oklahoma minus the points over Texas at 10 pm ET on Wednesday. We'll back the Sooners as they aim to snap their three-game losing streak and five-game ATS slide in a key rivalry matchup against Texas. Despite Oklahoma's recent struggles, it has faced a more challenging schedule than Texas and still holds the better overall record. The Longhorns also enter this contest on a three-game skid but have covered the spread in their last two games, both competitive home matchups against Auburn and Tennessee. However, this game presents a tougher challenge as they hit the road, where they've played just two true road games this season—beating N.C. State as a favorite and losing by 20 points as an underdog at Texas A&M. In the hostile environment of Norman, I expect the Longhorns to falter while the Sooners take advantage of the opportunity to regain their footing. Take Oklahoma. Projected score: Oklahoma 71, Texas 64. |
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01-15-25 | Seton Hall v. Butler -6.5 | Top | 77-82 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Big East Game of the Year. My selection is on Butler minus the points over Seton Hall at 7 pm ET on Wednesday. Despite Butler’s recent struggles, entering this game on a nine-game losing streak and two consecutive ATS defeats, the Bulldogs have faced a much tougher schedule than Seton Hall. This will be a prime spot for Butler to bounce back and end their skid before heading on the road for a tough matchup with Connecticut. Seton Hall has been solid recently with two straight ATS wins, but they suffered a six-point loss at Providence on Saturday. With back-to-back home games against St. John's and Marquette on the horizon, the Pirates might be looking ahead, which bodes well for Butler. Butler should be motivated to right the ship in front of their home crowd. Expect the Bulldogs to cover the spread with a much-needed win. Take Butler. Projected score: Butler 76, Seton Hall 64. |
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01-14-25 | Nuggets v. Mavs +4.5 | Top | 118-99 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 18 m | Show |
Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Denver at 9:40 pm ET on Tuesday. The Mavericks find themselves in a quick rematch situation after dropping a 112-101 decision at home against the Nuggets on Sunday. While Denver is riding a three-game SU and ATS winning streak, it’s worth noting that its road form has been inconsistent this season, evidenced by a 9-10 ATS mark away from home. The Nuggets are due for some regression in what could be a flat spot after a strong stretch of performances. Dallas, on the other hand, will be eager to respond and capitalize on its familiarity with Denver after Sunday’s game. The Mavs’ ability to adjust defensively and create better offensive opportunities will be key as they look to halt the Nuggets' momentum. Given the circumstances, I expect a strong effort from Dallas to keep this one tight and possibly steal the win. Take Dallas. Projected score: Dallas 111, Denver 109. |
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01-14-25 | Ohio State +7 v. Wisconsin | Top | 68-70 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
Big Ten Underdog Game of the Year. My selection is on Ohio State plus the points over Wisconsin at 9 pm ET on Tuesday. Ohio State has faced a challenging schedule this season, reflected in its 10-6 record. The Buckeyes are coming off a disappointing home loss to a strong Oregon team on Saturday, marking their third straight ATS defeat. This provides added motivation for them to bounce back on Tuesday night. Despite their recent struggles, Ohio State has the talent and depth to compete against a Wisconsin squad that has been riding high with five straight wins SU and three consecutive ATS covers. The Badgers boast a 13-3 record but have not faced the same level of competition as the Buckeyes. With a two-game road trip to Los Angeles looming, there’s a potential for Wisconsin to be caught looking ahead. Expect Ohio State to come out with urgency and keep this one close, potentially pulling off the upset. Take Ohio State. Projected score: Wisconsin 69, Ohio State 67. |
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01-14-25 | Canucks v. Jets OVER 5.5 | Top | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Vancouver and Winnipeg at 8:05 pm ET on Tuesday. While both teams are coming off consecutive 'under' results, this matchup sets up well for a higher-scoring affair. Vancouver snapped its four-game losing streak with a solid 3-0 win in Toronto on Saturday, but it has been productive offensively on the road this season, averaging 3.0 goals per game. Winnipeg, meanwhile, has been an offensive force on home ice, averaging 3.7 goals per game. The Jets also come into this one riding high off a 3-0 shutout victory against Colorado on Saturday. Both teams have proven capable of finding the back of the net, especially in more favorable matchups like this one. The total for this game has been set conservatively, likely influenced by the recent string of low-scoring outcomes for both teams. However, with both offenses trending in the right direction and the potential for a more open game, the 'over' is well-positioned to cash. Take the over. Projected score: Winnipeg 4, Vancouver 3. |
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01-12-25 | Packers +5.5 v. Eagles | Top | 10-22 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 16 m | Show |
Wild Card Game of the Year. My selection is on Green Bay plus the points over Philadelphia at 4:30 pm et on Sunday. The Packers will be looking to avenge their heart-breaking season-opening loss to the Eagles in Brazil as they clash once again, this time in a playoff setting. Green Bay may not carry a lot of momentum into this game after finishing the regular season with back-to-back losses both straight up and against the spread. However, this is a battle-tested team capable of rising to the occasion. Philadelphia enters this contest with a stellar 14-3 record and closed the regular season with consecutive victories both SU and ATS. While that resume looks impressive, it's worth noting the Eagles benefited from one of the league’s weakest schedules. Green Bay has the tools to keep this game competitive, and I expect a motivated effort from the Packers as they seek redemption. The playoff stakes, combined with their familiarity with the Eagles, should help them hang tough, with this one likely coming down to the wire. Take Green Bay. Projected score: Philadelphia 23, Green Bay 21. |
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01-09-25 | Cal Poly +15.5 v. UC San Diego | Top | 68-95 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
Big West Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Cal Poly plus the points over UC-San Diego at 10 p.m. ET on Thursday. Cal Poly enters this matchup in desperate need of a turnaround, having lost seven consecutive games against the spread. At 6-10 SU on the season, the Mustangs haven’t delivered consistent results, but this represents a spot where they could surprise as an underdog. Their schedule has been notably tougher than that of UC-San Diego, which has benefited from a favorable slate on its way to a sparkling 13-2 SU record. UC-San Diego is riding high on an 11-game winning streak, but it’s worth noting that many of those victories came against weaker competition. The Tritons’ most recent outing, a dominant cover as a double-digit road favorite against Cal State-Fullerton, could set them up for a letdown as they return home on Thursday. Cal Poly has the potential to keep this game competitive, especially if UC-San Diego shows any signs of complacency. Take Cal Poly. Projected score: UC-San Diego 72, Cal Poly 65. |
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01-09-25 | Notre Dame v. Penn State OVER 45 | Top | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Notre Dame and Penn State at 7:30 p.m. ET on Thursday. Both Notre Dame and Penn State are coming off lower-scoring games in the College Football Playoffs, but this matchup sets up for a more offensively driven contest. Notre Dame's win over Georgia was influenced by the Bulldogs operating with a backup quarterback, leading to a conservative offensive approach. Against Penn State, the Irish face a much more explosive offense that has scored 30+ points in four straight games and six of its last seven. Notre Dame has also been highly productive offensively, surpassing the 30-point mark in nine of its last 12 contests. While the Irish were able to dictate a slower tempo against Georgia by playing from ahead, this game projects to be a back-and-forth battle, encouraging a more open style of play. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to score consistently throughout the season, and with the total set in the mid-40s, there’s plenty of room for this game to comfortably exceed expectations. Expect this high-stakes matchup in Miami to bring out the best in both offenses. Take the over. Projected score: Penn State 28, Notre Dame 24. |
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01-09-25 | Sabres v. Senators -146 | Top | 4-0 | Loss | -146 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
Atlantic Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Ottawa over Buffalo at 7 p.m. ET on Thursday. The Sabres snapped their three-game skid with a shootout victory over Washington on Monday, but their struggles on the road this season (7-12-2) remain a significant concern. Buffalo’s defensive inconsistencies have often been amplified away from home, leaving them vulnerable against teams capable of capitalizing on their mistakes. Ottawa, meanwhile, returns home after a frustrating overtime loss in Detroit two nights ago, where they squandered a lead. The Senators have now dropped three straight games and five of their last six, but this matchup presents a strong opportunity to bounce back. Ottawa has been more reliable on home ice, where it boasts a solid 10-6-1 record at the Canadian Tire Centre this season. With added motivation to shake off their recent slump and facing a Sabres team that has struggled in similar spots, I like the Sens to respond with a strong performance here. Take Ottawa. Projected score: Ottawa 4, Buffalo 2. |
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01-08-25 | Bulls v. Pacers OVER 240 | Top | 113-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
Central Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and Indiana at 7:10 p.m. ET on Wednesday. Both teams enter this contest having leaned toward lower-scoring games in recent outings, but the underlying dynamics point to a high-tempo, high-scoring affair. Chicago is coming off an 'under' result in an impressive 'upset' win over San Antonio on Monday. However, the Bulls have struggled defensively, allowing six consecutive opponents to convert on more than 40 field goals and three straight to make 44 or more. Adding to the defensive woes, Chicago has allowed 95+ field goal attempts in five straight games, signaling an inability—or unwillingness—to slow the pace. Indiana has also recorded consecutive 'under' results, including a 113-99 victory over Brooklyn on Monday. Despite this, the Pacers' recent games have featured plenty of opportunities for opposing offenses. Five of Indiana’s last seven opponents have attempted at least 92 field goals, and six of those opponents have successfully converted more than 40 shots. With both teams trending toward faster paces and allowing high shooting volumes, this matchup sets up as a potential track meet. Chicago's defensive struggles and Indiana's openness to high-volume games create the perfect storm for a high-scoring affair. Look for both offenses to capitalize on the lack of defensive resistance. Take the over. Projected score: Indiana 127, Chicago 120. |
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01-07-25 | Flames -127 v. Ducks | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
Pacific Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Calgary over Anaheim at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Calgary enters this game looking to regain its footing after back-to-back losses on home ice. While the Flames have been inconsistent of late, this matchup offers an excellent opportunity to rebound as they take on an Anaheim team that, despite some recent improvement, remains vulnerable. Calgary’s urgency to secure two points here is heightened by the fact that they’ll face a tougher challenge in a back-to-back against Los Angeles on Wednesday. Anaheim is coming off a confidence-boosting 4-2 upset win over Tampa Bay on Sunday, but its overall form at home this season remains mediocre with a 9-11-1 record. While the Ducks have shown flashes of competitiveness, their inconsistency and tendency to look ahead—especially with a lengthy road trip starting on Thursday—could work against them here. Calgary’s depth and motivation make them a tough opponent for Anaheim to overcome in this spot. Look for Calgary to capitalize on its desperation and take advantage of Anaheim's distractions to secure a much-needed victory. Take Calgary. Projected score: Calgary 4, Anaheim 3. |
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01-07-25 | Georgia Tech v. Syracuse | Top | 55-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 34 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Year. My selection is on Syracuse minus the points over Georgia Tech at 7 p.m. ET on Tuesday. Georgia Tech comes into this matchup riding a wave of momentum with three consecutive wins both SU and ATS. Despite their recent form, the Yellow Jackets are just 8-7 on the season, with their success coming against a relatively soft schedule. Facing a step up in competition on the road against Syracuse presents a much tougher challenge for a team that has yet to prove its consistency against stronger opponents. Syracuse has struggled to a 6-8 record following back-to-back losses, both SU and ATS, including a tough road defeat in Tallahassee on Saturday. Returning home provides a crucial opportunity for the Orange to reset and right the ship before embarking on another road game against Boston College. Syracuse’s stronger overall schedule and the motivation to bounce back after recent setbacks make this a prime spot for a solid performance. Expect Syracuse to leverage its home-court advantage and superior depth to overwhelm a Georgia Tech team that may be due for a letdown. Look for the Orange to control the tempo and cover the spread in convincing fashion. Take Syracuse. Projected score: Syracuse 74, Georgia Tech 63. |
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01-06-25 | Heat +4 v. Kings | Top | 118-123 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show |
Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Miami plus the points over Sacramento at 10:10 p.m. ET on Monday. Miami comes into this game off a disappointing 1-2 homestand, including surprising losses to Indiana and Utah. Despite those setbacks, this matchup presents a strong opportunity for the Heat to bounce back, as they face a Sacramento team in a tricky scheduling spot. Miami’s experience and discipline make them a dangerous underdog, particularly in situations where the opponent may be less than fully focused. Sacramento enters this game riding high after a dominant blowout win over Golden State in San Francisco on Sunday, extending their winning streak to four games. However, the Kings now face the challenge of playing the second of back-to-back nights with travel. Complicating matters, this is a one-game return home before they head back on the road for a tough three-game trip starting in Boston on Friday. The circumstances make this a potential letdown spot for Sacramento, especially against a motivated Heat squad. Expect Miami to capitalize on the Kings’ tough scheduling spot and bring a more focused effort after their recent struggles. The Heat have the tools to keep this game competitive and could very well spring the outright upset. Take Miami. Projected score: Miami 112, Sacramento 110. |
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01-05-25 | Dolphins v. Jets | Top | 20-32 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
AFC East Game of the Month. My selection is on New York minus the points over Miami at 4:25 pm ET on Sunday. Despite their struggles this season, I see this as a strong spot for the Jets to close out the campaign on a high note. New York enters this contest off a pair of lopsided losses, including a 40-14 drubbing in Buffalo last week. However, this matchup against Miami offers an opportunity for redemption, particularly with revenge on the table following a 32-26 setback to the Dolphins earlier in the season. Miami comes in riding the high of back-to-back victories over the 49ers and Browns, but both of those wins came against lackluster opponents, and the Dolphins were far from dominant. Cleveland, for instance, squandered multiple chances to make last Sunday's game competitive, ultimately undone by its own offensive woes. The Jets, for all their issues, have shown flashes of competitiveness throughout the season and will relish the chance to spoil Miami's playoff hopes. Look for New York to come through as a slight home favorite. Take New York. Projected score: Jets 24, Dolphins 20. |
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01-05-25 | Kansas -5 v. UCF | Top | 99-48 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
Big 12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Kansas minus the points over Central Florida at 4 p.m. ET on Sunday. Kansas comes into this game off a surprising loss to West Virginia on New Year's Eve as a double-digit favorite, a defeat that they’ll surely want to put behind them. Despite that setback, the Jayhawks have been one of the top teams in the country this season, facing a much tougher schedule compared to Central Florida. This will serve as a bounce-back opportunity for Kansas, and I expect them to respond with intensity, knowing they need to regain their momentum. They’ve proven to be the superior team in both talent and experience, and facing a team like Central Florida will give them the chance to show that. Central Florida, on the other hand, is riding high with a six-game winning streak and three consecutive covers, but the competition they’ve faced hasn’t been nearly as difficult as Kansas. The Knights have had a nice run, but they are about to face a serious test in the Jayhawks. Kansas' ability to handle tough opponents throughout the season will be the difference here. I expect the Jayhawks to control the game from the outset and cover the spread with ease, as they are simply the more well-rounded team. Take Kansas. Projected score: Kansas 81, Central Florida 68. |
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01-04-25 | Browns +20 v. Ravens | Top | 10-35 | Loss | -108 | 31 h 40 m | Show |
AFC North Game of the Month. My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Baltimore at 4:30 pm ET on Saturday. The Browns have endured a tough season, entering this matchup on a five-game losing streak both straight up and against the spread. Despite their struggles, this divisional clash offers an opportunity for Cleveland to play spoiler and end their campaign on a high note. Divisional games often bring out the best in underdogs, and I expect the Browns to rise to the occasion, particularly with nothing to lose. Baltimore comes into this contest on a roll, riding a three-game winning streak both straight up and ATS. The Ravens dominated in a 31-2 victory over Houston on Christmas Day and have had extra time to rest and prepare. However, with the playoffs looming, this could be a spot where Baltimore takes its foot off the gas. A victory is likely all they need, with a margin of victory being less critical, especially in what promises to be cold, windy conditions. Given the circumstances, the Ravens may struggle to cover the sizable spread against a Browns team that figures to play with pride and determination. Expect Cleveland to keep this one closer than expected. Take Cleveland. Projected score: Ravens 27, Browns 16. |
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01-04-25 | Buffalo v. Liberty +2.5 | Top | 26-7 | Loss | -100 | 68 h 49 m | Show |
Bowl Game of the Year. My selection is on Liberty plus the points over Buffalo at 11 am ET on Saturday. We'll take the underdog Flames in this bowl matchup, as they look to rebound from an 'upset' road loss against Sam Houston State to close the regular season. That defeat ended a three-game winning streak for Liberty but doesn't overshadow the Flames' solid season and their ability to step up when underestimated. Buffalo enters riding a four-game winning streak, capped by a dominant win over Kent State back in late November. However, that victory came against one of the weakest teams in FBS, and the Bulls' recent success has likely lost its momentum due to the extended layoff. While Buffalo's back-to-back ATS wins may catch bettors' attention, the long break levels the playing field, and this spread seems to overestimate their advantage. Even with the usual bowl game uncertainties surrounding opt-outs and absences, I believe Liberty is the more motivated and prepared team, and they are undervalued in this spot. Expect the Flames to take control and deliver an outright win. Take Liberty. Projected score: Liberty 30, Buffalo 24. |
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01-03-25 | St. Joe's +3 v. St. Louis | Top | 57-73 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
Atlantic-10 Game of the Month. My selection is on St. Joseph's plus the points over Saint Louis at 9 pm ET on Friday. St. Joseph’s enters this contest riding a four-game winning streak straight up, despite having dropped its last two ATS. The Hawks have navigated a tougher schedule than Saint Louis this season and still boast the better record at 10-4 SU. Their resilience and ability to compete against higher-caliber opponents should serve them well in this matchup as they look to make a statement on the road in conference play. Saint Louis, on the other hand, comes in on a high after consecutive victories, including an emphatic 88-63 win over Fordham. While impressive, that result came against one of the weaker teams in the conference. The Billikens now face a significant step up in competition against a disciplined and battle-tested Hawks squad. Saint Louis has shown inconsistencies in maintaining focus and intensity after big wins, and this could be a prime spot for them to regress, especially against a St. Joseph’s team playing with confidence. Look for the Hawks to keep this one competitive from start to finish, capitalizing on their momentum and experience against tougher opponents. Take St. Joseph’s. Projected score: Hawks 74, Billikens 71. |
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12-31-24 | Hurricanes v. Blue Jackets +1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 32 m | Show |
Metropolitan Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Columbus +1.5 goals over Carolina at 8:05 pm ET on Tuesday. The Blue Jackets continue to fly under the radar on home ice, boasting an impressive 11-4-3 record this season. While they’re coming off a tough 4-0 loss in Boston on Sunday, Columbus has demonstrated resilience, winning three of its last five games, with Sunday’s defeat being the only one by more than a single goal during that span. Carolina arrives in Columbus following a 5-2 victory over New Jersey at home on Sunday. However, the Hurricanes have struggled to find consistency on the road, posting an underwhelming 8-9-1 record where they’ve been outscored by an average margin of 0.3 goals per game. Their recent form also raises questions, as they’ve gone just 2-3 over their last five contests. With Columbus performing well at home and Carolina showing vulnerabilities on the road, the insurance of +1.5 goals provides excellent value in what figures to be a competitive matchup. Take Columbus +1.5 goals. Projected score: Columbus 3, Carolina 2. |
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12-30-24 | Cincinnati v. Kansas State +4 | Top | 67-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Big 12 Game of the Month. My selection is on Kansas State plus the points over Cincinnati at 7 pm ET on Monday. Kansas State returns home looking to snap a three-game slide, both SU and ATS, in a key conference matchup against Cincinnati. While the Bearcats bring an impressive 10-1 record into this contest, including four straight wins, they've benefited from a lighter schedule compared to the Wildcats. Kansas State, despite its recent struggles, has the tools to compete here. The Wildcats have been tested by tougher opposition and will be desperate to deliver a strong performance on their home court. Meanwhile, Cincinnati may be due for a letdown following back-to-back convincing wins, as maintaining such a high level of play on the road is no small task. Expect Kansas State to rise to the occasion, leveraging home-court advantage and desperation to keep this game close and possibly pull off the upset. Take Kansas State. Projected score: Kansas State 72, Cincinnati 69. |
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12-30-24 | Iowa v. Missouri OVER 40 | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
Bowl Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Iowa and Missouri at 2:30 pm ET on Monday. Both teams enter this matchup following 'under' results in their respective regular-season finales, but the setup here points toward a higher-scoring affair. Iowa has shed its historically conservative offensive identity this season, averaging 28 points per game and displaying a more balanced approach. That should carry over against a Missouri defense that has surrendered over 20 points per contest this season. On the flip side, Missouri has been in strong form offensively, averaging 31.8 points per game over its final four contests, showcasing its ability to put up points against varying levels of competition. It's unlikely the Tigers will aim to slow things down, especially given their recent scoring momentum. While bowl games often present the risk of rust due to extended layoffs, this matchup takes place under favorable conditions in Nashville, minimizing concerns about weather disruptions. The trends also support the 'over,' with Iowa hitting the mark in five of its last seven games and Missouri doing so in three of its last four. Take the over. Projected score: Iowa 28, Missouri 24. |
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12-29-24 | Wright State +2 v. Cleveland State | Top | 64-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
Horizon League Game of the Month. My selection is on Wright State plus the points over Cleveland State at 3 pm ET on Sunday. Wright State has stumbled of late, suffering consecutive upset defeats against Youngstown State and Eastern Michigan. However, the Raiders have had ample time to regroup, with over a week since their last game. This sets up as a prime opportunity for a bounce-back effort as they hit the road to face a conference rival. Cleveland State has strung together four straight wins, but their most recent victory came against a vastly overmatched Midway University team. Despite their recent success, the Vikings have not faced the same level of competition as Wright State this season. While Cleveland State holds a slight edge in the standings, the gap between these two squads is minimal. Wright State's tougher schedule and the motivation to snap their skid should translate into a strong performance in this matchup. Look for the Raiders to push Cleveland State to the brink and potentially come away with the road win. Take Wright State. Projected score: Wright State 76, Cleveland State 72. |
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12-29-24 | Panthers v. Bucs -9 | Top | 14-48 | Win | 100 | 5 h 48 m | Show |
NFC South Game of the Month. My selection is on Tampa Bay minus the points over Carolina at 1 pm ET on Sunday. The Buccaneers return home looking to bounce back after a disappointing 'upset' loss in Dallas last Sunday night. Despite that setback, Tampa Bay has been playing solid football, winning four of its last five games SU and covering the spread in five of its last seven contests. This week, the Bucs face a Panthers squad that is coming off an emotionally charged 36-30 victory over Arizona. While that snapped Carolina's four-game skid, it may leave the Panthers vulnerable to a letdown. Carolina has enjoyed a strong run ATS recently, going 6-1 over its last seven games, but that record has been padded by situations as heavy double-digit underdogs, which is not the case here. The Buccaneers' balanced offense and opportunistic defense should prove too much for the Panthers in this divisional matchup, especially with Tampa Bay playing at home, where they’ve historically performed well. Take Tampa Bay. Projected score: Tampa Bay 27, Carolina 13. |
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12-28-24 | Thunder v. Hornets +12.5 | Top | 106-94 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Charlotte plus the points over Oklahoma City at 6:10 pm ET on Saturday. We'll side with the struggling Hornets as they look to snap a six-game skid. Charlotte comes off a disappointing 'upset' loss in Washington on Thursday, but this matchup against Oklahoma City presents an opportunity for a much-needed bounce-back effort. While the Hornets have failed to cover in back-to-back games, they’ve shown the ability to keep contests close at home, particularly against teams on the second leg of a tough travel schedule. The Thunder roll into town riding high on a four-game winning streak, most recently notching a hard-fought 120-114 victory in Indiana on Thursday. However, this game falls into a challenging scheduling spot, with Oklahoma City returning home tomorrow to start a five-game homestand against the Grizzlies—a potential look-ahead scenario. Charlotte should be able to capitalize on the Thunder's lack of focus and hang within the number, buoyed by a home crowd eager to see its team end the losing streak. Take Charlotte. Projected score: Oklahoma City 112, Charlotte 110. |
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12-28-24 | Nevada -7.5 v. Wyoming | Top | 63-66 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 52 m | Show |
Mountain West Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Nevada minus the points over Wyoming at 4 pm ET on Saturday. Nevada will be eager to get back on track following last week's upset loss to Colorado State. That setback ended a two-game winning streak for the Wolf Pack, who have faced a far tougher slate of opponents than Wyoming this season. Nevada has shown the ability to bounce back and I'm confident it will do so once again here. Wyoming enters this matchup on a high note, riding a two-game winning streak both SU and ATS. However, it's worth noting that those victories came as a favorite, a much different dynamic than the underdog role they'll find themselves in here. Given Nevada’s superior schedule strength and its motivation to rebound, I expect the Wolf Pack to control this game from start to finish, covering the spread in the process. Take Nevada. Projected score: Nevada 78, Wyoming 66. |
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12-26-24 | Heat v. Magic UNDER 208.5 | Top | 89-88 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
Southeast Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Miami and Orlando at 7 pm ET on Thursday. These two teams recently met in a surprisingly high-scoring affair, with the Magic pulling out a 121-114 victory on December 21st. However, I anticipate a much different outcome in this rematch, with a slower pace and stronger defensive play dictating the flow of the game. Miami has excelled defensively of late, holding three straight opponents to 87 or fewer field goal attempts and seven of their last nine foes to 41 or fewer made field goals. On offense, the Heat have struggled to find rhythm, managing more than 41 made field goals only once in their last six games and being limited to exactly 36 in three straight contests. Orlando has also leaned on its defense, holding four straight and seven of its last eight opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals. Offensively, the Magic have been kept to 41 or fewer made field goals in eight of their last 10 games, contributing to their consistent 'under' trends. While the previous matchup saw an unusually high shooting percentage from both teams, I expect this rematch to be far more subdued, especially with both squads well-rested and emphasizing defense. Take the 'under.' Projected score: Orlando 101, Miami 96. |
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12-22-24 | Patriots v. Bills UNDER 46.5 | Top | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 48 m | Show |
AFC East Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between New England and Buffalo at 4:25 pm ET on Sunday. The Patriots enter this matchup on a four-game losing streak, during which the 'over' has cashed in each game. However, this game presents a prime opportunity for New England's defense to rebound. The Bills return home after back-to-back road games against the Rams and Lions, both of which were high-intensity contests. Those games saw plenty of scoring, but I anticipate a shift in pace and tone as Buffalo looks to recalibrate offensively. Buffalo’s defense has shown the ability to clamp down, particularly at home, where it allows fewer points per game compared to its road performances. On the other side, New England has struggled to find offensive consistency, especially in recent weeks. A divisional showdown like this one often brings a more methodical approach, favoring fewer explosive plays and an overall lower-scoring outcome. Take the under. Projected score: Buffalo 24, New England 17. |
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12-22-24 | Vikings v. Seahawks +3 | Top | 27-24 | Push | 0 | 18 h 21 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle plus the points over Minnesota at 4:05 pm ET on Sunday. The Vikings have been riding high, boasting a seven-game winning streak that includes a 3-0 SU mark on their recent homestand. While they've been impressive, this matchup presents a potential stumbling block as they head west to face a Seahawks team eager to respond following last Sunday night's disappointing home loss to the Packers. That defeat not only snapped Seattle's four-game SU and ATS winning streak but also served as a wake-up call as the Seahawks prepare for their final home game of the regular season. Historically, the Seahawks have been strong in bounce-back situations under head coach Pete Carroll, particularly at home. With added motivation to close out their home slate on a positive note, look for Seattle to keep this game competitive, if not pull off the outright upset. Minnesota's streak has been impressive, but the challenge of traveling to a tough road environment against a motivated opponent could prove too much. Take Seattle. Projected score: Minnesota 24, Seattle 23. |
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12-21-24 | Steelers +6.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-34 | Loss | -108 | 51 h 59 m | Show |
AFC North Game of the Month. My selection is on Pittsburgh plus the points over Baltimore at 4:30 pm ET on Saturday. The Steelers and Ravens consistently produce tight, hard-fought games, and this matchup should be no different. Pittsburgh claimed the first meeting between these AFC North rivals in a defensive battle, 18-16, back on November 17th. Despite coming off a rough loss in Philadelphia, the Steelers have shown resilience on the road this season, boasting a 5-3 SU and ATS record away from home. Optimism surrounding the return of T.J. Watt, who resumed practicing on Thursday, only adds to their chances of a bounce-back effort. The Ravens, meanwhile, rolled past the struggling Giants last week but have been inconsistent, alternating wins and losses over their last four games and going 2-3 ATS in their last five. Baltimore remains a formidable opponent, yet its offensive line faces a stiffer challenge in this matchup compared to the Giants' underwhelming front. Pittsburgh’s defense, especially with the potential presence of Watt, should be able to apply pressure and keep Baltimore’s offense in check. Given the Steelers' knack for performing well on the road and the Ravens’ tendency for up-and-down play, I anticipate another close contest, making the points valuable in this spot. Take Pittsburgh. Projected score: Baltimore 20, Pittsburgh 17. |
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12-21-24 | Wake Forest v. Clemson -8.5 | Top | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show |
ACC Game of the Month. My selection is on Clemson minus the points over Wake Forest at 2 pm ET on Saturday. Clemson is well-positioned for a strong performance here, returning home after consecutive "upset" losses against formidable Memphis (home) and South Carolina (away) teams. The Tigers have faced a challenging stretch but now find themselves in a favorable spot to rebound on their home floor. Clemson has been tough at home this season and should take advantage of this opportunity to right the ship. Wake Forest, on the other hand, comes in off a two-game winning streak, including a convincing 75-58 home victory over James Madison. However, it's worth noting that those victories came on their home court. When the Demon Deacons have stepped up in competition on the road, the results have been less favorable, suffering double-digit losses at both Xavier and Texas A&M in their last two true road games. This sets up as a game where Clemson's defensive intensity and home-court advantage can overwhelm Wake Forest, especially given the disparity in recent road performances for the Deacons. Expect Clemson to make a statement here. Take Clemson. Projected score: Clemson 77, Wake Forest 62. |
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12-20-24 | St. John's v. Providence +6.5 | Top | 72-70 | Win | 100 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
Big East Game of the Month. My selection is on Providence plus the points over St. John's at 8 pm ET on Friday. St. John's enters this matchup on a roll, having notched four consecutive wins, including three straight covers against the spread. However, all those victories came on their home court, where they have been particularly comfortable this season. Now, the Red Storm face a tougher test on the road against a Providence team that is eager to bounce back following a disappointing neutral-court loss to St. Bonaventure last Saturday. Providence has already demonstrated its strength at home, highlighted by a commanding 83-64 win over BYU as 4.5-point underdogs in their last outing on their own floor. The Friars' home-court advantage should not be overlooked, as they have consistently performed well in front of their home crowd. The Red Storm's recent success could lead to a slightly inflated point spread, creating value on the underdog Friars in this spot. Look for Providence to rise to the occasion and keep this game close, with a strong chance of pulling off the outright upset. Take Providence. Projected score: Providence 72, St. John's 70. |
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12-19-24 | Lakers v. Kings -4.5 | Top | 113-100 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 47 m | Show |
Pacific Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Sacramento minus the points over Los Angeles at 10:10 pm ET on Thursday. Sacramento enters this matchup looking to rebound from a frustrating one-point home loss to Denver on Monday. The Kings have been a force offensively, converting 49 or more field goals in three of their last four games while consistently pushing the pace with 90 or more field goal attempts in seven straight contests. This up-tempo style should put significant pressure on a Lakers team that thrives in slower-paced games but has struggled to control tempo recently, allowing 90 or more field goal attempts in three of its last five games. Offensively, the Lakers have been inconsistent, failing to make 40 field goals in three straight games and in nine of their last 11 overall. While they are coming off an upset home win against Memphis, the matchup with Sacramento presents a much tougher challenge, particularly with the Kings eager to bounce back on their home court. Expect Sacramento’s relentless pace and efficient scoring to prove too much for Los Angeles to handle in this spot. Take Sacramento. Projected score: Sacramento 122, Los Angeles 110. |
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12-19-24 | Seattle Kraken -140 v. Blackhawks | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -140 | 12 h 26 m | Show |
Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Seattle over Chicago at 8:30 pm ET on Thursday. Seattle comes into this matchup looking to snap a two-game skid after disappointing offensive performances on home ice. The Kraken managed just one goal in their last two outings, but they’ve been a much more potent offensive team on the road this season, averaging 3.4 goals per game. A change of scenery could be just what they need to get back on track. Chicago, meanwhile, enters on a rare winning streak, having secured consecutive victories at home against the Islanders and Capitals. However, it's worth noting that the Capitals were caught in a back-to-back situation in their matchup. Seattle, in contrast, has the advantage of having been idle yesterday, leaving them better rested for this contest. The Blackhawks have been mediocre on home ice, posting a 6-8 record while allowing an average of 3.2 goals per game. Against a Kraken team eager to rebound and capable of producing offensively on the road, Chicago could struggle to keep the streak alive. Take Seattle. Projected score: Seattle 4, Chicago 3. |
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12-19-24 | Broncos v. Chargers UNDER 41.5 | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 22 m | Show |
AFC West Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Denver and Los Angeles at 8:15 pm ET on Thursday. The first matchup between these two teams this season narrowly went 'over' the total with a combined 39 points. In that game, Los Angeles jumped out to a big lead before easing up defensively, allowing Denver to claw back late. This time around, the game script should look much different. The Chargers are dealing with numerous injuries, most notably to QB Justin Herbert, who continues to battle through multiple ailments. With key defensive contributors also sidelined, Los Angeles is likely to employ a conservative, grind-it-out gameplan aimed at limiting mistakes and keeping this game within reach. Denver is coming off an impressive offensive output, scoring 31 points in last week’s victory over the Colts. However, much of that production stemmed from capitalizing on Indianapolis’ mistakes. After back-to-back 30+ point performances, the Broncos are likely due for some offensive regression, particularly on a short week against a familiar divisional opponent. Expect both teams to lean on their defenses and for the pace of play to slow, resulting in a lower-scoring divisional battle. Take the under. Projected score: Los Angeles 20, Denver 17. |
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12-16-24 | Bears +7 v. Vikings | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
Division Game of the Week. My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Minnesota at 8 pm ET on Monday. The Bears stay on the road after a rough outing in San Francisco but have shown resilience throughout the season (at least from an ATS perspective), frequently keeping games competitive against tough divisional rivals. While they’ve lost seven straight, a narrow three-point defeat against these same Vikings in late November proves they can hang with Minnesota. Rookie QB Caleb Williams has been a bright spot, particularly against blitz-heavy defenses. That’s noteworthy given the Vikings' aggressive approach under defensive coordinator Brian Flores, who loves to dial up pressure. Williams’ ability to make plays under duress could be pivotal in this matchup. On the flip side, Minnesota has strung together six consecutive wins, but its games haven’t typically been blowouts. Seven of their 13 contests this season have been decided by six points or fewer. The Vikings are coming off a decisive win over the Falcons last Sunday, but replicating that level of dominance is no guarantee. Their offense has been effective but not overpowering, which should allow Chicago to stay within striking distance. With a young quarterback who thrives against pressure and a divisional rival that rarely wins by margin, the Bears are in a solid position to cover the spread. Take Chicago. Projected score: Minnesota 24, Chicago 21. |
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12-16-24 | 76ers v. Hornets UNDER 216.5 | Top | 121-108 | Loss | -111 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Philadelphia and Charlotte at 7 pm ET on Monday. This matchup features two teams trending toward lower-scoring outcomes, and I anticipate more of the same here. While their December 3rd meeting resulted in an 'over,' it required a late surge in scoring to get there—something unlikely to repeat in this rematch. The 76ers' offense has been consistently limited, failing to reach 44 made field goals in any of their 23 games this season. While Philadelphia gave up 47 field goals in their most recent outing against Indiana, that was an exception. Over the last 12 games, the Sixers have held 10 opponents to 41 or fewer made field goals, showcasing their defensive strength. Charlotte has struggled offensively, making 40 or fewer field goals in nine consecutive games. Despite their offensive woes, the Hornets have remained competitive defensively, holding 11 of their last 12 opponents to 42 or fewer field goals. With both teams leaning on defense and showing significant limitations on offense, especially in terms of efficiency, this contest is likely to grind its way to a lower total than their previous meeting. Take the under. Projected score: Philadelphia 106, Charlotte 98. |
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12-15-24 | Packers v. Seahawks UNDER 46.5 | Top | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show |
SNF Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Green Bay and Seattle at 8:15 pm ET on Sunday. Both teams have shifted toward run-heavy approaches in recent weeks, a trend that looks likely to continue. While Green Bay is coming off a high-scoring affair in Detroit, its recent offensive outburst is unsustainable, with regression likely against a Seattle defense that has been playing solidly. Similarly, Seattle’s 30-point performance last week against Arizona marked a six-week high. It was an outlier performance that I don't believe will be repeated this week. Both teams will likely look to control the tempo and grind out possessions, leading to fewer scoring opportunities. Green Bay has shown a greater commitment to the run game recently, and Seattle’s offensive strategy is well-suited for a lower-scoring battle, especially at home. With both sides preferring a methodical pace and defenses capable of holding their own, expect a game that falls short of the posted total. Take the under. Projected score: Green Bay 20, Seattle 17. |
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12-15-24 | Bengals v. Titans OVER 46 | Top | 37-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 37 m | Show |
AFC Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Cincinnati and Tennessee at 1 pm ET on Sunday. Cincinnati’s offense has been a force to reckon with in recent weeks, averaging over 33 points per game across a five-game stretch before being held to a "modest" 27 in Monday's victory over Dallas. Joe Burrow and the Bengals' attack continue to find success both through the air and on the ground, making them a consistent threat to light up the scoreboard. While Tennessee’s offense has been less explosive, it remains opportunistic and capable of capitalizing on favorable matchups. The Titans' recent track record suggests a pattern of rebounding offensively after low-scoring games, and they'll likely need to open things up to keep pace with the Bengals. Additionally, Cincinnati's defense has been vulnerable, allowing more than 20 points in five of its last six games, leaving the door open for Tennessee to contribute its share to the scoring. Given Cincinnati's firepower and Tennessee’s tendency to bounce back offensively, this matchup sets up as a high-scoring affair. Both teams should find opportunities to exploit weaknesses in the opposing defenses, leading to a game that surpasses the posted total. Take the over. Projected score: Cincinnati 31, Tennessee 24. |
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12-13-24 | Nets v. Grizzlies -11.5 | Top | 119-135 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
Revenge Game of the Month. My selection is on Memphis minus the points over Brooklyn at 8:10 pm ET on Friday. Memphis has been an offensive juggernaut recently, consistently creating opportunities and converting at a high rate. The Grizzlies have hoisted 93 or more field goal attempts in six of their last seven games, knocking down 45 or more field goals in each of those six contests. This relentless pace will put tremendous pressure on a Brooklyn defense that has managed to limit opposing teams' field goals primarily due to slower game tempos rather than overwhelming defensive prowess. Brooklyn has struggled offensively, being held to 41 or fewer made field goals in five straight and eight of their last nine games, a trend unlikely to reverse against a Grizzlies defense that has limited its last eight opponents to 43 or fewer made field goals despite several of those games featuring high shot volumes. The Grizzlies also have the motivational edge, as they look to avenge a narrow 106-104 loss to the Nets earlier this season. That defeat came despite Memphis being favored by 4.5 points, a spread that reflects their capability to dominate this matchup. Playing at home, where they thrive, Memphis should dictate the tempo and overwhelm a Brooklyn team that lacks the firepower and consistency to keep pace. Take Memphis. Projected score: Memphis 119, Brooklyn 104. |
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12-13-24 | Indiana v. Nebraska -4 | Top | 68-85 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Big Ten Game of the Month. My selection is on Nebraska minus the points over Indiana at 8 pm ET on Friday. Indiana comes into this game riding a four-game winning streak, both straight-up and against the spread, but those victories all came in the favored role and against weaker opposition. This matchup against Nebraska marks a shift to underdog status and a significant step up in competition. While the Hoosiers have been firing on all cylinders offensively, averaging 28 or more made field goals in their last four games, they’ve benefited from facing defenses that have struggled to contain them. Nebraska, despite a lopsided loss at Michigan State last Saturday, has shown the ability to limit its opponents, holding its first seven foes to 26 or fewer made field goals. The Cornhuskers have had five days to recover and regroup from their loss, and they’ll be eager to return to form on their home court, where they’re a perfect 5-0 this season. Nebraska’s defense will be key, as it seeks to slow down Indiana’s offense while exploiting a Hoosiers defense that has been less tested against high-quality opponents. Look for the Cornhuskers to set the tone early and control the game en route to a bounce-back victory. Take Nebraska. Projected score: Nebraska 72, Indiana 63. |
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12-12-24 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 49.5 | Top | 12-6 | Win | 100 | 35 h 49 m | Show |
TNF Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Los Angeles and San Francisco at 9:15 pm ET on Thursday. The Rams enter this matchup riding a wave of momentum after pulling off a thrilling win in a high-scoring affair against Buffalo on Sunday. However, the dynamic of this divisional contest shifts significantly, with Los Angeles likely opting for a more methodical approach. Expect the Rams to emphasize their ground game and focus on managing the clock against a San Francisco defense that, while banged up, remains disciplined. The 49ers are coming off a dominant showing against Chicago, but their offensive consistency remains questionable due to injuries and underwhelming performances throughout the season. With limited time to prepare on a short week, it’s reasonable to anticipate a less efficient offensive display. Given the divisional stakes and the familiarity between these teams, defenses should hold the upper hand, keeping scoring opportunities scarce. Take the 'under.' Projected score: Los Angeles 23, San Francisco 20. |
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12-12-24 | New Mexico State v. Texas -20 | Top | 67-91 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Month. My selection is on Texas minus the points over New Mexico State at 8 pm ET on Thursday. New Mexico State enters this contest fresh off a shocking 89-83 upset victory over New Mexico as a massive 20-point underdog on Saturday. That victory snapped a five-game losing skid and undoubtedly represents the high-water mark of the Aggies' season thus far. However, such an emotional win often leads to a letdown, especially when facing a powerhouse opponent like Texas. The Aggies' struggles prior to that upset reveal significant deficiencies on both ends of the floor, making them ill-equipped to handle the Longhorns in this spot. Texas, on the other hand, will be eager to bounce back following a 76-65 loss to Connecticut on Sunday. That defeat marked just their second of the season, and it came against one of the top teams in the nation. The Longhorns have proven they can dominate inferior competition, with several blowout victories already this season. Look for their defense to stifle New Mexico State, while their deep and talented roster capitalizes on the Aggies’ defensive shortcomings. Take Texas. Projected score: Texas 88, New Mexico State 61. |
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12-10-24 | Mavs v. Thunder -4 | Top | 104-118 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Oklahoma City minus the points over Dallas at 9:30 pm ET on Tuesday. Dallas enters this matchup riding a seven-game winning streak, but it hasn’t been as dominant as the streak suggests. The Mavericks are coming off an ATS loss to Toronto on Saturday, and their offensive efficiency has been inconsistent, with three of their last five opponents holding them to 41 or fewer made field goals. Defensively, Dallas has struggled to limit opposing opportunities, allowing seven of its last nine foes to attempt at least 90 field goals. Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is in excellent form, having won and covered in three straight games. The Thunder’s defensive intensity has been a hallmark of their success, holding six consecutive opponents to 38 or fewer made field goals. Offensively, they’re clicking, connecting on 42 or more field goals in four straight contests. With a chance to avenge a narrow two-point home loss to the Mavericks last month, expect a focused effort from OKC on Tuesday night. Take Oklahoma City. Projected score: Oklahoma City 119, Dallas 108. |
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12-10-24 | Lightning v. Oilers -143 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Edmonton over Tampa Bay at 9:05 pm ET on Tuesday. Both teams come into this matchup on a positive note, but Edmonton’s recent form has been more consistent, winning five of its last six contests. The Oilers have been playing a strong two-way game, allowing just 12 total goals over that stretch, while finding the back of the net 24 times. With an extra day of rest following Saturday’s 4-2 win over the Blues, Edmonton is in prime position to continue its winning ways. Tampa Bay is also in solid form, having earned a 4-2 road win against Vancouver on Sunday. However, the Lightning are in the midst of a long road trip and face a quick turnaround against a fresh Oilers team. Edmonton’s offensive depth and ability to control possession at home give it a significant edge in this spot. Take Edmonton. Projected score: Edmonton 4, Tampa Bay 2. |
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12-09-24 | Bengals -5.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 13 h 40 m | Show |
MNF Game of the Month. My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Dallas at 8:15 pm ET on Monday. Cincinnati enters this matchup on a three-game skid but finds itself in a favorable spot to rebound against a Dallas squad whose recent wins mask deeper struggles in what has become a lost season. At 5-7 and without QB Dak Prescott, the Cowboys have battled but lack the firepower to match an explosive Bengals offense. Cincinnati has consistently found the end zone, scoring 41, 34, 27, and 38 points in its last four games, and will likely exploit a Dallas defense that has shown cracks against high-powered opponents. Even on the road, Cincinnati’s superior offensive firepower and urgency to end its losing streak should prove decisive. While Dallas has overachieved in consecutive wins both SU and ATS, this matchup represents a step up in class that the Cowboys are ill-equipped to handle. Take Cincinnati. Projected score: Cincinnati 28, Dallas 17. |
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12-09-24 | Knicks v. Raptors UNDER 232 | Top | 113-108 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
Atlantic Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between New York and Toronto at 7:40 pm ET on Monday. While the Knicks have seen their last three games go 'over' the total, those results were fueled more by efficient shooting than pace. New York has managed just 85, 76, and 79 field goal attempts in those contests, suggesting they haven't been pushing the tempo. On the defensive end, the Knicks have been steady, holding four of their last five opponents to 40 or fewer made field goals. Toronto, meanwhile, has been solid defensively, allowing fewer than 40 made field goals in three of its last four and five of its last seven games. The Raptors' ability to force tough shots should help keep the scoring in check against a Knicks squad that has relied heavily on shooting efficiency to reach higher totals. Take the 'under.' Projected score: New York 110, Toronto 106. |
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12-08-24 | Bears v. 49ers OVER 43.5 | Top | 13-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
NFC Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Chicago and San Francisco at 4:25 pm ET on Sunday. The Bears' offense has found a spark under interim head coach Anthony Thomas, with rookie QB Caleb Williams settling into a groove. Expect that momentum to continue against a 49ers defense struggling with injuries and inconsistency. While San Francisco's offense was stymied by the elements in Buffalo last week, returning to more favorable conditions at home should lead to a much-improved performance. Chicago’s defense, while solid, has shown vulnerability against the run, allowing 5.0 yards per carry. This sets up well for the Niners, as RB Isaac Guerendo has proven to be a capable fill-in for their injured backfield stars. Both teams are positioned to find offensive success, leading to a higher-scoring affair. Take the 'over.' Projected score: San Francisco 31, Chicago 24. |
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12-08-24 | Panthers +13.5 v. Eagles | Top | 16-22 | Win | 100 | 15 h 58 m | Show |
NFC Game of the Year. My selection is on Carolina plus the points over Philadelphia at 1 pm et on Sunday. The Eagles are in a classic letdown spot, returning home after a pair of impressive road wins and covers against the Rams and Ravens. With eight straight victories, Philadelphia is riding high but might find it challenging to sustain maximum focus as heavy favorites against a seemingly overmatched Carolina team. The Panthers, however, have been quietly improving. They've covered the spread in four straight games, showing resilience and competitiveness against more talented opponents. Their recent form suggests they can hang around even against a powerhouse like Philadelphia, especially if the Eagles come out flat. Carolina’s defense has stepped up lately, and their offense has done just enough to keep games tight. With nearly two touchdowns to work with, the Panthers offer value as a team likely to frustrate the Eagles in a closer-than-expected contest. Take Carolina. Projected score: Philadelphia 27, Carolina 20. |
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12-07-24 | Penn State v. Oregon UNDER 50.5 | Top | 37-45 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show |
Big Ten Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Penn State and Oregon at 8 pm ET on Saturday. While both teams have been involved in high-scoring games recently, a closer look at their defensive profiles suggests this contest could be lower-scoring than expected. Penn State's last three games all went 'over,' but the Nittany Lions carried much of the scoring load themselves against Purdue, Minnesota, and Maryland. Their defense remains a strength, having allowed more than 20 points just once in their last six outings. Oregon, despite a 49-21 shootout win over Washington last week, has been remarkably consistent defensively. The Ducks have held six straight opponents to 21 points or fewer, showcasing their ability to limit scoring opportunities. Their methodical offense also contributes to game flow that often prevents back-and-forth shootouts. Both defenses are capable of stepping up in big games, and with two disciplined units on the field, the scoring pace should remain manageable throughout. Take the 'under.' Projected score: Penn State 24, Oregon 20. |
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12-07-24 | Predators v. Senators OVER 6 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Nashville and Ottawa at 7 pm ET on Saturday. Nashville has been mired in a slump offensively, seeing the 'under' cash in five straight games as they've been limited to two goals or fewer in each contest. However, this sets up as a prime bounce-back spot for the Predators. Ottawa’s defense has been anything but stout, allowing 3.2 goals per game this season. The Senators have been vulnerable at home, where their games average a combined 6.8 total goals. Ottawa's recent 2-1 victory over Detroit was an anomaly, breaking a streak of five consecutive 'over' results. The Sens' offense has generally been capable of trading goals, especially in home contests, where they’ve often pushed the pace. Given Nashville’s urgency to end its six-game losing streak and Ottawa’s tendency to find itself in high-scoring affairs, this matchup has all the makings of a fast-paced, goal-filled contest. Take the over. Projected score: Nashville 4, Ottawa 3. |
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12-06-24 | Stars v. Golden Knights OVER 6 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 16 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Dallas and Vegas at 10 pm ET on Friday. Both teams enter this matchup having seen three consecutive games stay 'under' the total, but this contest sets up for a higher-scoring affair. Dallas will look to shake off the sting of Wednesday's 3-2 loss in Los Angeles, and the Stars have struggled defensively on the road, allowing 3.3 goals per game compared to 2.6 goals per game overall. That discrepancy highlights their vulnerability away from home. Vegas, meanwhile, continues to thrive offensively on home ice, averaging 4.0 goals per game in front of its own fans. The Golden Knights come off a 4-1 win over Anaheim on Wednesday and should capitalize on the Stars' defensive inconsistencies. Additionally, with both teams boasting talented offenses and solid power-play units, special teams could play a significant role in pushing this total over the number. Take the 'over'. Projected score: Vegas 4, Dallas 3. |
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12-06-24 | Tulane v. Army UNDER 45.5 | Top | 14-35 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
AAC Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Tulane and Army at 8 pm ET on Friday. This AAC Championship Game projects as a hard-nosed affair. Tulane enters looking to rebound after its eight-game winning streak was snapped by Memphis last week. The Green Wave defense had been dominant prior to that setback, allowing just nine points total in its previous three contests, including a shutout of Navy’s triple-option attack—a potentially key factor in preparing for Army's similar offensive scheme. Army's offense, which started the season strongly, has cooled off significantly. The Black Knights managed 20 points or fewer in three of their last four games, suggesting that Tulane's stout defense could have an edge. Defensively, while Army struggled in its final two games of the regular season, conceding 73 points, the unit has shown flashes of being able to slow down opponents and will look to tighten up in this high-stakes contest. With both teams potentially leaning on their running games to control the clock and limit possessions, this game is likely to stay below the total. Take the 'under'. Projected score: Tulane 24, Army 13. |
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12-05-24 | Packers +3.5 v. Lions | Top | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 34 h 37 m | Show |
NFC North Game of the Month. My selection is on Green Bay plus the points over Detroit at 8:15 pm ET on Thursday. Detroit enters this game on a 10-game win streak, but it's been far from perfect. Last week, they narrowly escaped a comeback attempt by the Bears, with poor clock management costing Chicago at the end of the game. While the Lions' impressive streak is notable, their defensive injuries have started to pile up and could present significant issues against a high-powered Packers offense. Green Bay comes into this matchup with momentum, having won three straight games and scoring 30 or more points in each of the last two. They have the offensive firepower to exploit Detroit's defensive weaknesses, particularly with key players missing. The Packers also have confidence from last season's Thanksgiving Day victory in Detroit, which could fuel their motivation in this divisional matchup. While the Lions are a strong team, Green Bay's recent form and the issues Detroit is facing make this game much closer than expected. The Packers should cover the spread with a competitive showing. Take Green Bay. Projected score: Green Bay 27, Detroit 24. |
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12-04-24 | Pacers v. Nets OVER 226.5 | Top | 90-99 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'over' between Indiana and Brooklyn at 7:40 pm et on Wednesday. Indiana has been one of the most offense-oriented teams in the league, often turning games into high-scoring affairs, regardless of their opponents. The Pacers are fresh off a 122-111 loss in Toronto last night, marking their third straight defeat. Their defense has been consistently porous, allowing five consecutive opponents to connect on at least 44 field goals. Offensively, while Indiana fell short of its usual production last night, snapping a streak of 10 straight games with over 40 made field goals, the Pacers are primed for a bounce-back effort. Brooklyn’s offensive struggles have been evident, but this matchup with Indiana provides a perfect opportunity for the Nets to find their rhythm. The Pacers' up-tempo style and defensive lapses should enable Brooklyn to put up points, especially considering the Nets have given up 40 or more made field goals in four of their last five contests. This matchup sets up as a fast-paced, high-scoring game. Take the 'over.' Projected score: Indiana 125, Brooklyn 119. |
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12-04-24 | Rider +2 v. Fairfield | Top | 75-78 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
MAAC Game of the Month. My selection is on Rider plus the points over Fairfield at 7 pm ET on Wednesday. Rider has been tested against a grueling schedule to open the season, with challenging matchups against the likes of UCLA, Iowa and Villanova. The Broncs returned home for the first time this season on Saturday and fell by six points to Delaware. While their shooting performance in that game was subpar, expect improvement on Wednesday as they settle into a more favorable matchup. Fairfield has struggled to contain its opponents despite playing at a slower pace. Over its last four games, the Stags have allowed opponents to knock down 26, 33, 22, and 26 field goals, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities. Rider, on the other hand, has shown resilience defensively, holding two of its last three opponents to 24 or fewer made field goals despite facing tough competition. With Rider's battle-tested defense and potential for offensive improvement, this matchup sets up well for the Broncs to stay competitive. Take Rider plus the points. Projected score: Rider 67, Fairfield 65. |
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12-02-24 | Browns v. Broncos OVER 42 | Top | 32-41 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show |
MNF Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'over' between Cleveland and Denver at 8:15 pm ET on Monday. Jameis Winston has injected a boom-or-bust element into the Browns' offense, resulting in a string of high-scoring contests. Cleveland's last four games have finished with totals of 53, 37, 49, and 43 points, showcasing Winston's ability to spark explosive plays for both his team and their opponents. Denver's offense has hit its stride behind rookie QB Bo Nix, who has led the Broncos to a combined 67 points over their last two games. Nix's steady progression and knack for big plays have given Denver's offense newfound consistency and potency. Weather won’t be a factor in this primetime matchup, with clear skies and light winds creating ideal conditions for both offenses to thrive. The combination of Winston's high-variance play style and Denver's emerging firepower makes a compelling case for a higher-scoring affair than anticipated. Take the over. Projected score: Denver 28, Cleveland 24. |
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12-02-24 | Yale +4 v. Rhode Island | Top | 78-84 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Yale plus the points over Rhode Island at 7 pm ET on Monday. Yale enters this game off a surprising loss to Delaware, falling to 4-4 on the season. While that defeat was disappointing, the Bulldogs have had over a week to regroup and prepare for this tough road test. Yale’s balanced offense and disciplined approach should serve it well against a Rhode Island team that thrives in high-energy contests. Rhode Island's 7-0 start has been impressive on the surface, but it comes with a caveat: the Rams are just 2-4 ATS in lined games. That suggests they've struggled to cover against the spread even when favored. The Rams are also facing a quick turnaround, having played twice since Yale's last outing. This game carries added motivation for the Bulldogs, who will be eager to avenge a close loss to the Rams in last season's meeting. Expect Yale’s steady pace and effective ball movement to keep this game competitive, with the potential for the Bulldogs to spring an outright upset. Projected score: Yale 71, Rhode Island 68. |
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12-01-24 | Texans -3.5 v. Jaguars | Top | 23-20 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
AFC South Game of the Year. My selection is on Houston minus the points over Jacksonville at 1 pm ET on Sunday. The Texans are primed for a strong response after last week’s upset loss at home to Tennessee, as they hit the road to face a struggling Jaguars team. Houston’s offense has shown explosiveness this season and should thrive against a Jacksonville defense that has been porous, allowing a staggering 52 points in its most recent outing against Detroit. Even with a bye week to regroup, the Jags' defensive issues are unlikely to be fully resolved. Jacksonville’s offense, meanwhile, could be hampered by a less-than-healthy Trevor Lawrence, who has been battling injuries and has limited weapons to work with. Scoring consistently against a Texans defense that has shown flashes of competence will be a challenge for the Jags. While Jacksonville has covered the spread in the last two meetings, Houston has largely had the upper hand in this series, and the Jaguars’ recent inconsistency makes them hard to trust in this spot. Look for the Texans to take control early and cover comfortably. Take Houston. Projected score: Texans 31, Jaguars 17. |
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11-30-24 | Marshall v. James Madison -3.5 | Top | 35-33 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 30 m | Show |
Sun Belt Conference Favorite of the Year. My selection is on James Madison minus the points over Marshall at 8 pm ET on Saturday. Marshall has enjoyed a tremendous season, currently riding a five-game winning streak and boasting an impressive 9-1-1 ATS record. However, this sets up as a challenging spot for the Thundering Herd as they stay on the road following an emotional upset win over Old Dominion last Saturday. Marshall's road performance has been less impressive, going 2-3 away from home. James Madison, on the other hand, will be eager to bounce back after seeing its three-game winning streak snapped in a surprising loss at Appalachian State last week. The Dukes have been dominant at home, where they remain undefeated this season. Additionally, JMU has the added confidence of having won last year’s matchup against Marshall 20-9, a result that saw its defense shine. The Dukes' strong home form and motivation to finish the regular season on a high note give them the edge in this spot. Take James Madison. Projected score: James Madison 28, Marshall 17. |
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11-29-24 | Raiders v. Chiefs -13 | Top | 17-19 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
PLEASE NOTE: This play is on The Raiders plus the points (as per below writeup), not the Chiefs as indicated above. AFC West Game of the Month. My selection is on Las Vegas plus the points over Kansas City at 3 pm ET on Friday. Although the Raiders have been struggling, losing seven straight games and failing to cover in three consecutive contests, this is a divisional rivalry game that should bring out the best in them. Las Vegas will be looking for revenge after a 27-20 loss to Kansas City on October 27th and has historically played the Chiefs tough. In fact, the Raiders handed Kansas City an upset loss at home on Christmas Day last year, showing they can rise to the occasion in these matchups. While Kansas City is a dominant 9-1 this season and favored in this spot, the Chiefs might not have the same level of motivation after a strong start to the year. The Raiders have plenty of incentive to battle hard, and their familiarity with Kansas City in close, hard-fought games gives them the confidence they can keep this one competitive. This is a prime opportunity for the Raiders to show up in a big way, and with Kansas City potentially overlooking the challenge, the points should be enough to cover. Take Las Vegas. Projected score: Chiefs 27, Raiders 24. |
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11-28-24 | Giants +3.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 20-27 | Loss | -114 | 20 h 54 m | Show |
NFC East Game of the Month. My selection is on New York plus the points over Dallas at 4:30 pm ET on Thursday. Dallas is garnering significant betting attention as a home favorite following their impressive road victory over Washington last Sunday. However, this sets up as a potential letdown spot, particularly given their documented struggles at home this season, where consistency has been elusive. The Cowboys' offensive explosion last week felt more like an outlier, especially with Cooper Rush under center in place of the injured Dak Prescott. On the other side, the Giants are coming off a low point after a disastrous showing against Tampa Bay. While their 7-point effort last Sunday was dismal, it could serve as a wake-up call for a team that has traditionally rebounded well from such performances. Third-string quarterback Drew Lock brings a fresh dynamic to their offense, and the Giants have added motivation, seeking revenge for a narrow 20-15 loss to Dallas in the season's first meeting. Expect New York to fight hard in this divisional rematch, keeping it close and possibly pulling off the outright win. Take New York. Projected score: New York 21, Dallas 20. |
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11-26-24 | Kent State v. Buffalo UNDER 49 | Top | 7-43 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
MAC Total of the Week. My selection is on the 'under' between Kent State and Buffalo at 7 pm et on Tuesday. Kent State has endured a tough season, sitting winless at 0-11. While the Golden Flashes managed 17 points in last week’s game, they’ve been consistently stymied offensively, failing to score more than 21 points in five consecutive contests. Buffalo, on the other hand, has been riding high with three straight victories, clinching bowl eligibility last week. Despite the Bulls’ recent scoring success, they’re unlikely to need a big offensive output to handle Kent State in this spot. Historical trends and current conditions further bolster the case for the 'under.' Last year’s matchup between these teams produced just 30 total points. Additionally, the game is set to be played in Buffalo under cold and windy conditions, likely hampering both teams' ability to move the ball effectively. With a struggling Kent State offense and Buffalo’s incentive to manage the game efficiently, a low-scoring affair appears likely. Take the 'under.' Projected score: Buffalo 27, Kent State 7. |
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11-24-24 | Liberty +2.5 v. Kansas State | Top | 67-65 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
Game of the Week. My selection is on Liberty plus the points over Kansas State at 8 pm ET on Sunday. Liberty has impressed to start the season, boasting a 5-1 record and an identity built around stifling defense and deliberate play. The Flames rank tied for 327th nationally in pace and are 48th in defensive rating, making them a challenging opponent for any team. Kansas State, while a solid 4-1, has shown some defensive vulnerabilities, ranking tied for 157th in defensive rating. Both teams prefer slower tempos, which should keep this matchup close and limit scoring runs. This contest, part of the Paradise Jam in St. Thomas, finds both teams coming off dominant wins on Friday, but Liberty’s disciplined approach makes them well-suited to compete against Kansas State’s methodical style. With their ability to control the pace and disrupt opponents defensively, the Flames are a live underdog in what projects to be a tightly contested game. Take Liberty. Projected score: Liberty 67, Kansas State 64. |
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11-24-24 | Cardinals v. Seahawks OVER 47 | Top | 6-16 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 6 m | Show |
NFC West Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between Arizona and Seattle at 4:25 pm ET on Sunday. The Seahawks have seen their last four games stay 'under' the total, including a 20-17 upset win over the 49ers last week in Santa Clara. However, Seattle's defense remains a concern, ranking in the bottom third of the league in total yards allowed per game. This could be an issue against an Arizona team that has scored 88 points over its last three games and is coming off a bye week, giving it extra time to prepare and recharge. Defensively, Arizona has its own struggles, also ranking in the bottom third of the league in total yards allowed per game. That sets up a strong opportunity for Seattle to break out of its recent low-scoring trend, especially at home. Both teams’ defensive deficiencies, combined with Arizona’s recent offensive form, point toward a higher-scoring contest than the recent 'under' trends suggest. Take the 'over.' Projected score: Seattle 27, Arizona 24. |
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11-24-24 | Lions v. Colts +7.5 | Top | 24-6 | Loss | -116 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
Underdog Game of the Year. My selection is on Indianapolis plus the points over Detroit at 1 pm ET on Sunday. Detroit has been red-hot, winning eight straight games, including a dominant 52-6 win over Jacksonville last week. While the Lions have been impressive on the road, posting a 5-0 record away from home this season, the idea of them running the table on the road seems unlikely. This matchup comes just days before a Thanksgiving Day divisional clash against the Bears, which could make it a tricky spot for Detroit to maintain focus. Indianapolis is coming off a gritty 28-27 road win against the Jets, led by a standout performance from QB Anthony Richardson. The Colts have shown resilience this season, as none of their losses have come by more than 10 points. With their home crowd behind them and Detroit potentially looking ahead, the Colts should have the opportunity to keep this game close. Take Indianapolis. Projected score: Detroit 27, Indianapolis 24. |
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11-23-24 | Boise State v. Wyoming +22.5 | Top | 17-13 | Win | 100 | 31 h 53 m | Show |
Mountain West Conference Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Wyoming plus the points over Boise State at 7 pm ET on Saturday. Wyoming enters this game off a 24-10 loss at Colorado State last Saturday and will look to rebound in its home finale. The Cowboys have just two wins this season, so they’re already out of the Bowl picture, but they’ll be highly motivated to close out their home slate with a strong performance. Boise State has been impressive, winning eight straight games and moving up to 12th in the national rankings, but they’ll face a motivated and feisty Wyoming squad that will be eager for revenge after a 32-7 loss to the Broncos last year. While Boise State is rolling, Wyoming has shown the ability to be competitive at home and could make this a tighter contest than expected. The Broncos have been solid, but this is a tough environment for them to cover such a big spread. Wyoming should be able to keep things close and potentially surprise Boise State with a stronger-than-expected effort. Take Wyoming. Projected score: Boise State 31, Wyoming 17. |
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11-23-24 | Connecticut +10.5 v. Syracuse | Top | 24-31 | Win | 100 | 24 h 35 m | Show |
Non-Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Connecticut plus the points over Syracuse at 12 noon ET on Saturday. Connecticut has been on a strong run, winning three straight games, including a solid 31-23 victory at UAB on November 9th. With six wins against FBS opponents this season, the Huskies are a much-improved team compared to their 2022 meeting with Syracuse, where they lost 48-14. Connecticut enters this matchup rested and will be looking to carry over the momentum from its recent success. Syracuse, on the other hand, is in a tough spot after a long road trip across the country following a 33-25 win over California last Saturday. The Orange also have six wins against FBS teams and will wrap up their regular season at home next week against Miami. Syracuse may struggle to keep its focus after a grueling travel schedule, and Connecticut’s recent form gives them a good chance to keep the game close. Take Connecticut. Projected score: Syracuse 27, Connecticut 24. |
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11-22-24 | Kings -3 v. Clippers | Top | 88-104 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 58 m | Show |
Pacific Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Sacramento minus the points over Los Angeles at 10:30 pm ET on Friday. Sacramento heads into this matchup looking to rebound after a narrow 109-108 home loss to Atlanta earlier in the week. The Kings stand at 8-7 on the season, with a solid 4-3 record on the road, showing they can compete effectively away from home. The Clippers, meanwhile, are riding a three-game winning streak, most recently defeating Orlando 104-93. Los Angeles claimed a 107-98 victory in the first meeting between these teams on November 8th, a game heavily influenced by Sacramento's uncharacteristically poor shooting from beyond the arc, where they went just 3-for-26. It's unlikely the Kings will struggle to that extent again, giving them a strong opportunity to turn the tables in this rematch. Sacramento's ability to push the tempo and create scoring chances in transition could be a decisive factor, as the Clippers have shown vulnerability in such situations. Additionally, the Kings’ depth should provide them with an edge over Los Angeles, which relies heavily on its stars. Take Sacramento. Projected score: Sacramento 112, Los Angeles 106. |
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11-21-24 | Steelers v. Browns +3.5 | Top | 19-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 25 m | Show |
AFC North Game of the. Year. My selection is on Cleveland plus the points over Pittsburgh at 8:15 pm ET on Thursday. Pittsburgh has been on an impressive run, winning five straight games both straight up and against the spread, including a narrow 18-16 victory over the Ravens last week. The Steelers are currently 8-2 and hold a two-game lead in the AFC North. However, despite their excellent record, Pittsburgh’s offense has been inconsistent, and their games have often been decided by slim margins. Cleveland, on the other hand, has struggled with a 2-8 record, losing their last two games by blowout margins. While the Browns haven’t been consistent this season, this is a big primetime game for them, especially given the rivalry against Pittsburgh. Cleveland has historically played Pittsburgh tough in divisional matchups, and they’ll be motivated to keep this one close. While the Steelers are the more successful team this season, Cleveland will bring extra intensity to this game in front of a national audience. Pittsburgh may face a letdown after their recent success, which could give Cleveland an opportunity to cover the spread in a close, hard-fought game. Take Cleveland. Projected score: Pittsburgh 13, Cleveland 12. |
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11-21-24 | Jazz +3.5 v. Spurs | Top | 118-126 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
Western Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Utah plus the points over San Antonio at 8 pm ET on Thursday. While Utah has struggled this season, it already showed it can compete with San Antonio, winning a close 111-110 contest here earlier this month. The Jazz have lost three straight to start their current road trip, but they’ve faced tougher opponents during that stretch. This matchup presents a more favorable opportunity to remain competitive. San Antonio, while coming off an impressive upset over Oklahoma City, continues to struggle offensively, ranking tied for 24th in the league in points per game. The Spurs’ lack of pace (tied for 19th) and inconsistent scoring make them a vulnerable favorite in this spot. Without a reliable edge in offensive production, it could be difficult for San Antonio to pull away. Utah’s familiarity with this opponent, combined with the likely tighter tempo, sets the stage for a close game where the points hold value. Take Utah. Projected score: San Antonio 109, Utah 108. |
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11-20-24 | Golden Knights +116 v. Maple Leafs | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Vegas over Toronto at 7:30 pm ET on Wednesday. Vegas enters this matchup eager to bounce back after a rare 5-2 home loss to Washington on Sunday. Starting a five-game road trip, the Golden Knights bring one of the league's most potent offenses, ranking in the top three in goals per game and excelling on the power play at second overall. Toronto’s struggles with discipline—ranking 21st in penalty minutes per game—could give Vegas plenty of chances to capitalize with the man advantage. Toronto is coming off a hard-fought 4-3 overtime win against Edmonton but has had an extended layoff since. While they’ve been solid at home, this game presents a tough challenge against a motivated and offensively dynamic Golden Knights team. Vegas dominated the last meeting between these teams in February, winning 6-2, and their balanced attack and road focus make them a strong pick here. Take Vegas. Projected score: Vegas 4, Toronto 2. |
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11-20-24 | Buffalo v. Eastern Michigan -1 | Top | 37-20 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
MAC Game of the Month. My selection is on Eastern Michigan minus the points over Buffalo at 7 pm ET on Wednesday. Eastern Michigan enters this game needing to win out to become bowl eligible, making this matchup crucial. Despite a tough 35-10 loss at Ohio last week, the Eagles have been competitive and will be motivated to bounce back at home. Buffalo, on the other hand, has already secured six wins and will be looking ahead to their bowl eligibility, while also facing a winless Kent State next week. The Bulls have played well recently, but their 2-3 road record this season suggests they could struggle away from home against a hungry Eagles team. Eastern Michigan's defense will look to stifle a Buffalo offense that has been up-and-down on the road. The Eagles have had success at home with a 3-2 record and will draw confidence from last season’s 24-11 victory over the Bulls. With Buffalo potentially distracted by their upcoming bowl scenario and Eastern Michigan playing with urgency, I expect the Eagles to cover the spread in this pivotal matchup. Take Eastern Michigan. Projected score: Eastern Michigan 28, Buffalo 21. |
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11-19-24 | Hornets v. Nets UNDER 222 | Top | 115-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Charlotte and Brooklyn at 7:30 pm ET on Tuesday. Charlotte has been involved in high-scoring games recently, but their offensive production remains among the league's worst, ranking 25th in points per game and 24th in offensive rating. The Hornets' struggles to generate consistent offense make it difficult to sustain the elevated scoring pace seen in their last two games. Meanwhile, Brooklyn has been playing at one of the slowest paces in the NBA, tied for 28th in pace, which naturally limits possessions and opportunities for high scores. The Nets are also coming off a game in which they failed to crack 110 points, highlighting their offensive inconsistencies. Historically, matchups between these teams haven’t featured much offensive fireworks, with their most recent meeting last March totaling only 209 points. Given both teams' tendencies and their recent form, this game is more likely to follow a methodical pace and struggle to exceed the posted total. Take the 'under.' Projected score: Brooklyn 108, Charlotte 103. |
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11-18-24 | Texans v. Cowboys +7 | Top | 34-10 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
MNF Game of the Month. My selection is on Dallas plus the points over Houston at 8:15 pm ET on Monday. Dallas comes into this matchup struggling, having lost four straight games, including a lopsided 34-6 defeat to Philadelphia last Sunday. Despite their record, the Cowboys have a defense capable of keeping them competitive, particularly against a Houston team dealing with key injuries. Cooper Rush now leads the Dallas offense, and while he's not as dynamic as Dak Prescott, he brings stability and experience that could help the Cowboys improve their efficiency. Dallas will be motivated to snap its losing streak and build some momentum before facing Washington next week. Houston is coming off a tough 26-23 loss to Detroit, falling to 6-4 on the season. While they get a boost with the return of WR Nico Collins, the absence of WR Stefon Diggs and DE Will Anderson will significantly impact both their offensive firepower and defensive strength. The Texans have been inconsistent this season, and while their record is better than Dallas', the injuries could level the playing field in this matchup. Take Dallas. Projected score: Houston 20, Dallas 17. |
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11-18-24 | Pacers v. Raptors +4.5 | Top | 119-130 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Toronto plus the points over Indiana at 7:30 pm ET on Monday. Toronto enters this matchup on a seven-game losing streak, including a hard-fought 126-123 overtime loss to Boston on Saturday. While the Raptors are struggling, they’ve shown the ability to remain competitive against tough opponents, especially at home. Their defense has been better than their record suggests, and they’ll likely prioritize stopping Indiana’s fast-paced attack to keep this game close. The Raptors should also benefit from Indiana playing the second game of a back-to-back, potentially facing fatigue. Indiana improved to 6-7 with a 119-110 win over Miami yesterday but has been inconsistent on the road, where they are just 2-5 this season. While the Pacers have had offensive success, especially in transition, the scheduling spot could make it difficult for them to sustain their scoring output. Toronto’s home-court energy and defensive focus give the Raptors a strong chance to break their losing streak or at least keep this one within the number. Take Toronto. Projected score: Indiana 116, Toronto 114. |
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11-18-24 | Oilers v. Canadiens UNDER 6.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Edmonton and Montreal at 7:30 pm ET on Monday. While Edmonton's recent games have leaned toward higher-scoring outcomes, with three of its last four contests totaling seven goals or more, the matchup against Montreal presents a different dynamic. Edmonton ranks 21st in the league in goals per game this season, highlighting inconsistency in finishing chances. However, its defensive structure remains a strength, allowing the third-fewest shots per game in the league, which should help temper Montreal’s scoring opportunities. Montreal, on the other hand, struggles to generate consistent offensive pressure, ranking 32nd in shots on goal per contest and tied for 19th in goals per game. Despite their 5-1 win over Columbus on Saturday, the Canadiens have generally lacked the firepower to break through strong defensive teams. The last meeting between these two clubs ended in a tight 3-2 victory for Edmonton in March, and a similar low-scoring result is likely given the teams' profiles. Take the under. Projected score: Edmonton 3, Montreal 2. |
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11-17-24 | Packers v. Bears +5.5 | Top | 20-19 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
NFC North Game of the Year. My selection is on Chicago plus the points over Green Bay at 1 pm ET on Sunday. The Bears have struggled offensively in recent weeks, but their defense has been a bright spot, allowing 21 points or fewer in eight of their nine contests this season. That consistency gives them a fighting chance against a Green Bay team averaging 25.6 points per game, good for ninth in the NFL. While the Packers' offense has been productive, their most recent outing saw them limited to just 14 points in a loss to Detroit. Green Bay has dominated this series over the years, including a 17-9 victory in their most recent meeting last January. However, this game will be played at Soldier Field, where the Bears will look to leverage their home-field advantage. Notably, all four of Chicago's wins this season have come at home, which could bolster their confidence in this critical divisional matchup. While weather often plays a factor in November games in Chicago, the forecast calls for relatively mild temperatures and light winds on Sunday, which should make for ideal playing conditions. This could help both offenses find a bit of rhythm, though Chicago’s defense will still be a tough test for the Packers. If the Bears can get any sort of spark offensively, they have a real shot at covering the spread or even pulling off the upset. Take Chicago plus the points. Projected score: Green Bay 20, Chicago 17. |
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11-17-24 | Jaguars v. Lions UNDER 47 | Top | 6-52 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 17 m | Show |
Non-Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Jacksonville and Detroit at 1 pm ET on Sunday. Jacksonville is coming off a 12-7 home loss to the Vikings, which came after they lost QB Trevor Lawrence to injury. The Jaguars have struggled offensively, ranking 21st in points per game and 24th in total yards per game this season. Detroit, on the other hand, is 8-1, but while their offense has been explosive, their defense has been solid, ranking eighth in points allowed per game (19.0). The Lions haven't been dominant defensively, but they have been effective enough to keep teams from putting up huge numbers. Given Jacksonville's recent offensive struggles and the potential for a more conservative game plan with backup quarterback play, this one has the makings of a low-scoring affair. While Detroit's offense can put up points, the Jaguars' defense has shown they can keep games close, and Detroit's defense has been good at limiting damage. Take the 'under.' Projected score: Detroit 24, Jacksonville 13. |
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11-16-24 | UAB v. Memphis OVER 62.5 | Top | 18-53 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show |
AAC Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'over' between UAB and Memphis at 8 pm ET on Saturday. UAB has shown signs of offensive improvement, scoring 107 points over the last three games after a period of struggles. This uptick in scoring, coupled with Memphis' potent offense, suggests that both teams could contribute to a higher-scoring affair. UAB has averaged just over 30 points in its last three games, which is a stark contrast to its earlier season struggles, and Memphis has consistently been a high-scoring team, averaging 30+ points per game and ranking inside the top-30 in total points. Memphis’ offense, led by an efficient passing attack, should have success against UAB’s defense, which has struggled to stop explosive plays. UAB’s recent offensive resurgence, along with Memphis’ ability to score in bunches, makes this matchup ripe for a higher total, especially when factoring in that last year's meeting ended in a 45-21 blowout in favor of Memphis, which shows these two teams can combine for significant points. Despite Memphis posting an 'under' in their last game, the Tigers have regularly hit the over this season, and UAB’s offensive improvement gives a strong indication this could be a high-scoring game. Take the over. Projected score: Memphis 41, UAB 28. |
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11-16-24 | James Madison v. Old Dominion +3 | Top | 35-32 | Push | 0 | 53 h 59 m | Show |
Sun Belt Conference Game of the Year. My selection is on Old Dominion plus the points over James Madison at 4 pm ET on Saturday. James Madison has been strong this season, but their blowout victories over Southern Miss and Georgia State don't fully capture the challenges they've faced against tougher opponents. While the Dukes' win over North Carolina earlier in the season garnered significant attention, they may not be as invincible as their record suggests. Old Dominion, despite their 4-5 record, has shown resilience, particularly during their three-game winning streak before their loss to Appalachian State. The Monarchs' defense and ability to stay competitive in close games make them dangerous underdogs in this matchup. Old Dominion's ability to stay within reach of tough teams and their balanced offensive attack should allow them to cover the spread, and I see them winning outright in what should be a competitive, hard-fought game. Take Old Dominion. Projected score: Old Dominion 27, James Madison 24. |
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11-16-24 | Louisiana Tech +13 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 12-7 | Win | 100 | 26 h 14 m | Show |
C-USA Underdog Game of the Year. My selection is on Louisiana Tech plus the points over Western Kentucky at 12 pm ET on Saturday. While Western Kentucky has had success at home, including their recent win over New Mexico State, Louisiana Tech has been competitive in several of its losses this season. The Bulldogs may have struggled with consistency, especially on the road, but they’ve been competitive in close games and have the potential to cover the spread here, especially considering Western Kentucky’s vulnerability to letting teams hang around. Additionally, Louisiana Tech’s offense has the capability to put up points, and with the spread at +9 or more, they may be able to keep it within a one-score game or possibly even pull off a surprise upset. Western Kentucky's defensive struggles in past games could be a concern here, especially if Louisiana Tech can execute offensively. Look for a hard-fought game with Louisiana Tech staying within the number, potentially leading to a close finish. Take Louisiana Tech. Projected score: Western Kentucky 31, Louisiana Tech 27. |
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11-15-24 | Houston v. Arizona UNDER 45.5 | Top | 3-27 | Win | 100 | 36 h 17 m | Show |
Big 12 Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Houston and Arizona at 10:15 pm ET on Friday. Both Houston and Arizona have shown struggles on offense this season, making the 'under' an appealing option in this matchup. Houston has been particularly strong defensively, allowing 20 points or fewer in four of their last five games, including a 24-19 win over Kansas State in their most recent outing. Their defense has been the cornerstone of their success, and they’ll look to slow down Arizona's offense, which has been inconsistent all year. Arizona, on the other hand, has been struggling on both sides of the ball, especially after their humbling 56-12 loss to Central Florida. The Wildcats have lost five straight and are averaging fewer than 20 points per game over their last few contests, a trend that doesn’t inspire confidence in a high-scoring affair. Both teams are also ranked outside the top-100 in points per game this season, further suggesting that this will be a low-scoring battle. With Houston likely focusing on defense and Arizona struggling to find consistency offensively, it’s reasonable to expect a game where both teams struggle to break 20 points. Given the total is set in the mid-40's, I’m expecting this game to stay well under that number. Take the 'under'. Projected score: Houston 21, Arizona 14. |
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11-15-24 | Nuggets v. Pelicans +5 | Top | 94-101 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
Western Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Denver at 8 pm ET on Friday. New Orleans enters this game on a six-game losing streak, both SU and ATS, but this matchup presents an opportunity for a turnaround. While the Pelicans struggled offensively in their 106-88 loss to Oklahoma City on Wednesday, they’ve shown flashes of being competitive earlier in the season. Denver has been winning games, but its defensive performance has been less than stellar of late, allowing at least 119 points in four straight contests. That defensive vulnerability could give the Pelicans a chance to keep this one close, particularly if their offense finds any rhythm. Denver has been idle since Sunday, when it edged Dallas 122-120 at home. While the Nuggets have shown their usual offensive firepower, their inability to put teams away on the defensive end leaves the door open for New Orleans to hang around. With Denver being such a significant favorite, this line may slightly overestimate their edge against a desperate Pelicans squad. Take New Orleans plus the points. Projected score: Denver 112, New Orleans 110. |
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11-14-24 | Commanders v. Eagles UNDER 48.5 | Top | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
NFC East Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Philadelphia at 8:15 pm ET on Thursday. The Commanders have been involved in some high-scoring games recently, with the 'over' hitting in each of their last two outings. However, Washington’s offensive output has often relied on sporadic big plays, and with both teams ranking in the top half of the league in total yards and points allowed, this matchup is likely to showcase defensive strengths. The Eagles, on a five-game winning streak, have shown defensive dominance, especially in their recent 34-6 rout of Dallas, where they effectively limited a normally potent offense, albeit with the Cowboys missing Dak Prescott. With Philadelphia’s defense playing at a high level and underdog Washington likely leaning on its defense to keep the game close, scoring opportunities may be limited. Additionally, divisional matchups tend to be tightly contested affairs, often leading to lower-scoring games as both teams make conservative adjustments. Expect a controlled pace and fewer explosive plays, favoring the 'under.' Projected score: Philadelphia 24, Washington 17. |
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11-13-24 | Wolves v. Blazers UNDER 222 | Top | 98-106 | Win | 100 | 15 h 3 m | Show |
Northwest Division Total of the Year. My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Portland at 10:10 pm et on Wednesday. In an interesting scheduling quirk, this will be the third meeting between the Timberwolves and Trail Blazers this season. They won't match up again until February. Both previous matchups have been relatively high-scoring, producing 'over' results. That includes last night's 122-108 stunner in favor of the Blazers. I'm anticipating a lower-scoring affair in tonight's rematch. Note that the T'Wolves still rank top-10 in the league in defensive rating this season, not to mention 18th in pace. Portland is an identical 28th in the NBA in both points per game and offensive rating this season. The Blazers actually got off just 84 field goal attempts in last night's 122-point outburst. They quite simply shot the lights out in that game including a blistering 18-for-32 from beyond the arc. I'm not expecting anything close to a repeat performance on Wednesday. Take the under. Projected score: Minnesota 107, Portland 102. |
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11-13-24 | Wizards +10 v. Spurs | Top | 130-139 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show |
Non-Conference Game of the Week. My selection is on Washington plus the points over San Antonio at 8 pm ET on Wednesday. The Wizards enter this matchup with a disappointing 2-7 record and are coming off a 107-92 loss in Houston. The silver lining is that Kyle Kuzma returned from injury in that game, providing a much-needed boost to their rotation. Washington will look to Kuzma to help elevate a struggling offense and keep pace with San Antonio, especially given their success in the last meeting, when they managed a 118-113 win over the Spurs last January. San Antonio, meanwhile, is coming off an impressive 116-96 blowout win over Sacramento, showing their ability to step up defensively when needed. However, the Spurs have been inconsistent, sitting at 5-6 on the season, and could be vulnerable in a spot where they're expected to cover a larger spread. Washington's experience and Kuzma’s return should help them remain competitive here. Take Washington plus the points. Projected score: San Antonio 111, Washington 108. |
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11-13-24 | Ball State +17 v. Dayton | Top | 69-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
Underdog Game of the Month. My selection is on Ball State plus the points over Dayton at 7 pm ET on Wednesday. Ball State enters this matchup with a balanced 1-1 record, coming off a strong 27-point win over Franklin following a narrow five-point road loss against Georgia State. The Cardinals' early-season performance hints at potential resilience, and they've had ample rest since their last game on Friday, which could give them an edge in terms of preparation and recovery. Facing a more recognized opponent like Dayton presents an opportunity for Ball State to further assert itself. Dayton is a perfect 2-0 but hasn’t faced particularly tough competition yet, with comfortable wins over St. Francis (PA) and Northwestern. However, the Flyers have occasionally struggled in games against unranked, yet capable, teams, making Ball State a worthy underdog in this spot. With Ball State's ability to stay competitive on the road and Dayton’s untested defense, this game could be tighter than expected. Take Ball State. Projected score: Dayton 73, Ball State 68. |
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11-12-24 | Mavs v. Warriors UNDER 232.5 | Top | 117-120 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 56 m | Show |
Western Conference Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Dallas and Golden State at 10 pm ET on Tuesday. Dallas enters this matchup following a high-scoring 122-120 loss in Denver, but the Mavericks typically play a more controlled, slower-paced game, ranking 18th in the league in pace. Defensively, they sit at 13th in the NBA in defensive rating, which has helped them keep games competitive even when their offense stalls. Against a Warriors team known for an explosive offense, Dallas will likely try to set a more deliberate tempo to limit transition opportunities for Golden State. Golden State, meanwhile, has shown a consistent defensive effort this season, ranking in the top five in defensive rating. Although they’re coming off a high-scoring win over Oklahoma City, the Warriors are well-suited to locking down opponents, especially when playing at home. Expect both teams to focus on defense and see fewer possessions in what should be a relatively low-scoring affair. Take the under. Projected score: Warriors 112, Mavericks 105. |
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11-12-24 | Flames v. Canucks -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 117 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
Pacific Division Game of the Month. My selection is on Vancouver -1.5 goals over Calgary at 10 pm ET on Tuesday. |
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11-10-24 | Kings v. Suns UNDER 228.5 | Top | 127-118 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
Pacific Division Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between Sacramento and Phoenix at 8:10 pm ET on Sunday. |
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11-10-24 | Jets -1.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 6-31 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 46 m | Show |
Non-Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on New York minus the points over Arizona at 4:25 pm ET on Sunday. The Jets enter this matchup off a confidence-boosting win over Houston on Halloween Night, showcasing a defense that has kept them competitive, even amid recent coaching changes. With a renewed focus under interim leadership, the Jets’ defensive unit has continued to shine, setting a solid foundation for the team. Against an Arizona offense that’s performed well lately but benefited from favorable matchups, the Jets’ defense has the edge to stifle big plays and create key stops. Arizona is on a three-game winning streak both straight up and against the spread but now faces a tougher defensive challenge than recent opponents. New York’s improving offense, meanwhile, gives the Jets the ability to take advantage of Arizona’s vulnerabilities on defense. In a game where the Jets’ balanced approach can shine, New York looks set to cover the spread with a solid all-around performance. Take the Jets minus the points. Prediction: Jets 23, Cardinals 16. |
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11-10-24 | Falcons v. Saints +3.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 15 h 10 m | Show |
NFC South Game of the Year. My selection is on New Orleans plus the points over Atlanta at 1 pm ET on Sunday. The Saints enter this game with new leadership following the firing of head coach Dennis Allen after last week’s close loss to Carolina. Coaching changes often bring a jolt of energy, and with New Orleans seeking redemption in a divisional matchup, they’re well-positioned to keep this contest close. While Atlanta’s offense has been fairly explosive, New Orleans has the defensive depth to disrupt key plays and limit big gains. In a matchup where both sides know each other well, the Saints' renewed focus should help them stay competitive. Atlanta, fresh off a win over Dallas, will be confident but must prepare for an extra-motivated New Orleans squad looking to improve after their early-season two-point loss to the Falcons. Even with the Falcons’ offensive firepower, divisional games tend to tighten up, and the Saints should capitalize on any defensive opportunities to keep it close. Take New Orleans plus the points. Prediction: Saints 24, Falcons 23. |
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11-10-24 | Bills v. Colts +4 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 47 m | Show |
AFC Game of the Week. My selection is on Indianapolis plus the points over Buffalo at 1 pm ET on Sunday. The Colts, though coming off back-to-back losses, have the experience of veteran Joe Flacco under center, which could bring stability and playmaking ability against a talented Bills defense. Despite Buffalo’s recent four-game winning streak, the Bills failed to cover the spread last week in a narrow three-point win over Miami. The loss of rookie WR Keon Coleman due to a wrist injury leaves a noticeable gap in Buffalo’s offensive depth, which could affect their ability to stretch the field. While Indianapolis also lost Michael Pittman to injury, his lack of production this season means his absence may not be as significant. With Flacco leading the offense, Indianapolis should be able to remain competitive, especially with Buffalo’s offensive depth potentially compromised. The Colts' defense has shown the ability to keep games close, and home-field advantage could play a role here in allowing them to stay within the spread. Take Indianapolis. Prediction: Bills 23, Colts 21. |
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11-10-24 | 49ers v. Bucs UNDER 50.5 | Top | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
NFC Total of the Month. My selection is on the 'under' between San Francisco and Tampa Bay at 1 pm ET. Both teams are on notable 'over' streaks: the 'over' has cashed in three consecutive games for the 49ers, while the Buccaneers have seen six straight games go over the total. Despite these trends, the setup here points to a lower-scoring outcome. San Francisco comes off a bye, which allows their defense time to regroup, and they’ll get RB Christian McCaffrey back, who can contribute to long, clock-controlling drives. The Niners' ability to sustain possessions on the ground could slow the game's pace and reduce Tampa Bay’s offensive opportunities. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay enters this game on a short week after a physical loss in Kansas City, and they’re still missing several key offensive contributors. Their injuries, combined with the fatigue factor, make it difficult to envision a strong scoring output against San Francisco’s disciplined defense. This challenge is compounded by the 49ers’ preparation and ability to make adjustments coming off the bye. Take the under. |
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11-09-24 | Fresno State -9.5 v. Air Force | Top | 28-36 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
Mountain West Conference Game of the Month. My selection is on Fresno State minus the points over Air Force at 9:45 pm ET on Saturday. Fresno State, coming off a narrow home loss to Hawaii, will be focused and motivated to bounce back as they continue their push toward bowl eligibility. With four wins against FBS opponents, Fresno State has proven they can compete effectively on both sides of the ball, and they’re well-positioned to avoid a letdown in this spot. Their offense has been generally efficient, while their defense has shown the ability to keep teams in check. Given these factors, Fresno State's balanced approach and execution make them a strong play with several matchup advantages over Air Force. Air Force, at 1-7 and coming off a decisive loss to Army, has struggled to find consistency on offense, and their defense has been overmatched in many games this season. Fresno State’s solid offensive unit should capitalize on Air Force’s defensive gaps, while their defense is well-equipped to contain Air Force's run-heavy attack. Fresno State has the edge in motivation, preparation, and overall performance, making them a solid pick to cover the spread. Take Fresno State. Prediction: Fresno State 34, Air Force 20. |