Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-30-24 | Dodgers v. Yankees -139 | 7-6 | Loss | -139 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
At 8:08pm ET, my MLB Home Run Club play is on the New York Yankees. The Dodgers should have finished them off when they had the chance! Most teams get swept when down 3-0 but these Yankees showed that they aren't most teams. Now the Yankees bats have come back to life and they have their ace Gerrit Cole going at home. They are going to be very difficult to beat tonight. New York resisted the temptation to go with Cole yesterday and it worked out. He threw only 88 pitches in Game 1 and he's going to be absolutely ready to go for this one. Flaherty has a 4.73 ERA for his career in the postseason. He's had a bounce-back season but he's no Gerrit Cole. He's going to give up some runs against a New York team which scored 11 last night. Cole won't need many. Yankees win! |
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10-29-24 | Dodgers v. Yankees -125 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
At 8:08pm ET, my MLB Playoff Game Of The Year is on the New York Yankees. The Dodgers were in control from the get-go last night. Thanks in large part to Freddie Freeman, they're now up 3-0 and looking to close things out. Let's not count out the Bronx Bombers quite yet though. Their big bats won't stay quiet 2 nights in a row. It was too little, too late for last night but the Yankees finally scored a couple of runs in the 9th inning last night. That was important for today. I feel confident that we will see an entirely different team, the one we saw all season long. Luis Gil can be tremendous at times. He held the Dodgers scoreless through his first 4 innings when he faced them in June, before allowing 3 combined runs in the 5th and 6th innings. Important to mention that he issued only 1 walk, striking out 5. The Yankees, who won that game 6-4, will be happy to see Gil shut down LA for the first 4 innings again. His arm is fresh and he's ready to pitch well in the biggest game of his career. The Yankees know that they can come back with Cole for Game 5 if they can just win this one. Put away those brooms, the Yankees are forcing a Game 5! |
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10-28-24 | Dodgers v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
At 8:08pm ET, my MLB Playoffs Total OF the Year is on the Los Angeles Dodgers vs New York Yankees Over. We saw some pretty good pitching in the first 2 games, both played at Dodger Stadium. That was with guys like Cole, Rodon, Flaherty and Yamamoto on the mound though. Now the series shifts to Yankee Stadium and the starting pitching matchup is a lot less daunting for the hitters. Clarke Schmidt is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA for his career in the postseason. He had a 1.39 ERA on the road this season but a 4.50 ERA at home. Buehler was once a dominant pitcher but those days are gone as injuries/surgeries have taken their toll. He's got a 6.00 ERA in these playoffs and he was 1-6 with a 5.38 ERA during the season. It goes without saying that these lineups are both loaded. Nearly every hitter is dangerous. I love a good pitcher's duel but I don't think we'll get that here. This game will reach double-figures. Play on the over. |
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10-20-24 | Mets v. Dodgers -137 | Top | 5-10 | Win | 100 | 13 h 47 m | Show |
At 8:08pm ET, my NLCS Game Of The Year is on the LA Dodgers. I said this leading into yesterday's play on the Yankees: We're getting treated to some really exciting baseball these days. In what should be another classic, the Yankees will come out on top. This lineup is simply too stacked. Today, I will replace the word Yankees with the word Dodgers, as the same holds true. This stacked Dodger lineup is too good to hold down for an entire game. Manaea earned the Game 2 win but he had a 1-5 record with an ERA of 7.09 before that against the Dodgers. Now he faces them for a 2nd time in less than a week. He hasn't been going deep into games regularly and went 5 innings in that game. The Mets bullpen is running on fumes. Everyone would love to see a Game 7 but its not happening. The Dodgers know this is their opportunity. They don't want to face Severino in a winner-take-all. They will get it done tonight and punch their ticket to face the Yankees in what will be an all-time classic World Series matchup. |
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10-19-24 | Yankees -114 v. Guardians | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
At 8:08pm ET, my ALCS Game Of the Year" is on the Yankees. We're getting treated to some really exciting baseball these days. In what should be another classic, the Yankees will come out on top. This lineup is simply too stacked. Judge is capable of hitting a home run at any time. Now you've got Stanton swinging a hot bat. He hit another one last night. Soto's one of the best in the game and he also hit a home run yesterday. They even got one from Wells last night. Rodon gave up just one run and three hits in six strong innings against the Guardians in Game 1. He struck out 9 and led the Yankees to a 1-0 series lead. Bibee lasted just 1 1/3 innings in that game. The Yankees got to him for five hits in that short stint. Bibee will likely be better this time but he still won't be good enough. The Cleveland bullpen hasn't been as good in this series as it normally is either and the Yankees have no fear of Clase who is 0-2 with a 10.29 ERA over six postseason appearances. From a fan's perspective, it would be nice if this series kept going longer. It's not happening though. The Yankees will punch their ticket to what should be a very special World Series. |
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10-17-24 | Yankees v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
At 5:08 ET, my ALCS Total Of The Year is on NY and Cleveland under. You likely know the situation. The Yankees are up 2-0 and looking very strong. Veteran Matthew Boyd was out much of the regular season but he sure did his part in the divisional series. Boyd made two effective, albeit brief, starts against the Detroit Tigers in the AL Division Series. In 6 2/3 shutout innings, through two starts, he allowed just five total hits while striking out 10. He had a 2.24 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 4 home starts this season. Clarke Schmidt had a 2.85 ERA this season. That's already really good but if a closer look at his stats shows that he had a terrific 1.39 ERA in 8 road starts. Schmidt is 1-0 with a 0.96 ERA his past 2 starts versus Cleveland. Scores were 3-2 and 4-3. The arms in the very capable bullpens got a day off yesterday and will be fresh and ready. Play on the under. |
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10-14-24 | Mets v. Dodgers -137 | 7-3 | Loss | -137 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
At 4:08pm ET, my MLB Home Run Club is on the LA Dodgers. The Dodgers have the best hitting in the National League. Combine that with their current 33-inning scoreless streak by their pitchers and they're going to be very tough to beat. They've tied the 1966 Orioles for the longest scoreless streak in postseason history and will surely break that today. Manaea will pitch for the Mets and he can be quite good at times. The problem for the Mets is that he's terrible versus the Dodgers. In 11 appearances against them, he's 1-5 with a 7.09 ERA. In his 8 starts against them, the ERA climbs to 7.51. By the end of the day, the Dodgers will have a new postseason record and a 2-0 lead in the series. |
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10-09-24 | Dodgers v. Padres -138 | 8-0 | Loss | -138 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
At 9:08pm ET, my Wed. Wipeout is on San Diego. The Dodgers have been the favorites since Day 1. They went out and signed Ohtani in the offseason, also inking Yamomoto to a 12-year deal. Ohtani has been everything they hoped for and more. Yamomoto has had his moments. The problem is that the Padres have been a better team than them for months. The Dodgers continued to play well but it was San Diego which was the #1 team since the All Star Break. All their spending couldn't prevent the Dodgers from running into numerous injuries to their starting rotation. Now the Padres have their hated rivals right where they want them. They've won 2 in a row and have a chance to close out the series at home, in front of an excited San Diego crowd. The hitters are seeing the ball extremely well and they've got Dylan Cease on the mound. He's been tough at home all season and he'll provide the Padres with an an advantage over whoever the Dodgers send out there. This is the Padres chance and they will make the most of it. |
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10-08-24 | Phillies v. Mets UNDER 7 | Top | 2-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
At 5:08pm ET, my NLDS Total Of The Year is on the Phillies/Mets under. The first 2 games of this series went to the way of the hitters but with a couple of battle-tested warriors on the mound, today's game will be all about the pitching. Veteran Aaron Nola gets the ball for the Phillies. He's 5-3 with a 3.70 ERA in nine career playoff starts. Nola was even better than that in last year's postseason as he was 3-1 with a 2.35 ERA. Sean Manaea, another very capable veteran, was solid in this season's first postseason start. He's had a very good year (12-6, 3.47 ERA) and is 5-2 with a 2.97 ERA and .199 opponents batting average in his daytime starts. He just delivered seven quality innings against the Phillies less than a month ago. The Mets are finally back home and the Phillies are 10-6 to the under the last 16 times they faced them in New York. The late inning heroics come to an end and this game stays under. |
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10-07-24 | Tigers -122 v. Guardians | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
At 4:08pm ET, my ALDS Game Of The Year is on the Detroit Tigers. For the Tigers to have any hope, they need to win every time that Skubal takes the mound. That's essentially what they've done all season long! The future American League Cy Young Award winner was 18-4 with a 2.39 ERA during the season. He's 8-1 with a 2.37 ERA since the All Star Break. Former Tiger Mathew Boyd goes for the Guardians. The veteran, who is a friend of Skubal's, has battled to even stay in the big leagues. He had Tommy John surgery last year. Great job in getting back to this level and to start on this stage but he's not ready to go toe-to-toe with the best pitcher in the league. Boyd will give his best but it won't be enough. The Tigers have been counted out all year and they refuse to say die. They may not win the series but they will win this game! With the Skubal/Boyd pitching matchup, it's my opinon that the line could be much higher. Play on Detroit. |
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10-06-24 | Mets v. Phillies -145 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show |
At 4:08pm ET, my NLDS Game Of The Year is on the Philadelphia Phillies. The Mets have shown that they can never be counted out. Just getting to the playoffs was a major accomplishment. Then, they rallied to beat the Brewers. They were down and out in Game 1 of this series and managed to still win. The Phillies aren't the Brewers though and they won't let up today. This is a special team, one which dominated the NL East all season. Severino is 2-3 with a 4.40 ERA his past 5 starts. Sanchez is 5-0 with a 2.43 ERA his past 5! Severino is also 2-4 with a 5.07 ERA and 1.53 WHIP over his postseason career. With a 42-25 record, when coming off a loss, no team was better at bouncing back than the Phillies. They will level up the series today. |
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10-05-24 | Tigers v. Guardians OVER 7 | Top | 0-7 | Push | 0 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
At 1:08pm ET, my Div. Rd Total Of The Year is on the Tigers and Guardians over. This is a very low total. Bibee hasn't been as good at home as on the road. A 4.15 home ERA compared to a 2.76 away ERA. Three of his past 5 home starts have gone to the over and 4 of those finished with at least 7 runs. Bibee also has struggled against Detroit. He has a 1-3 record with a ERA of 5.28 in 6 starts versus the Tigers. Four of those 6 games went to the over and 5 of them finished with at least 7 runs. At home, Bibee is 0-2 with a 6.11 ERA versus Detroit. The Tigers' pitching approach has been effective in getting them here but will lead to some runs Saturday afternoon. Eight of the past 12 h2h meetings have gone to the over. Enjoy the game and play on the over. |
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10-03-24 | Mets v. Brewers -124 | 4-2 | Loss | -124 | 10 h 13 m | Show | |
At 7:08 ET, my selection is on Milwaukee. The Astros couldn't do it. Neither could the Orioles. These Brewers are different though. Of the 3 home teams which dropped Game 1, the Brewers were the only ones who forced a deciding Game 3. That was even after falling behind to start the game. As Brewers manager Pat Murphy said before the game: "This team has responded in all those. Remember, the Dodgers beat the daylights out of us twice. We responded. The Yankees beat the daylights out of us twice. We responded. I think we'll respond." Off the comeback victory to save their season, the Brewers will seal the deal today. The Brewers just won this same Myers vs. Quintana matchup last week. Myers has an ERA below 3 since the All Star Break. Playing at home and not having played a double-header, as the Mets had to, on Monday will all help to send the Brewers to the next round. |
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10-02-24 | Mets v. Brewers -113 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
At 7:38pm ET, my Wildcard Game Of The Year is on Milwaukee. Yesterday's game went back and forth for the first few innings but the Mets seized control. The Brewers are the type of team that never gives up and knows how to respond. Brewers manager Pat Murphy said this: "This team has responded in all those. Remember, the Dodgers beat the daylights out of us twice. We responded. The Yankees beat the daylights out of us twice. We responded. I think we'll respond." Montas and Manaea just faced each other. Montas wasn't good but he was better than Manaea. Montas has also struggled in the playoffs but not nearly as badly as Manaea. He is 0-3 with a 15.26 ERA and a 2.09 WHIP for his postseason career. Those are terrible numbers. The Brewers are 40-29 off a loss. As Pat Murphy said, they will respond! |
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10-01-24 | Braves v. Padres -145 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
At 8:38pm my Wild-Card Wipeout is on the San Diego Padres. The Padres have an unusual and significant scheduling advantage. The Braves had to really fight to get here. They played a double-header in Atlanta yesterday and then had to travel. The Padres had the day off. Even without the schedule working against them, the Braves were going to have trouble against Michael King. He's got a 2.15 ERA in 11 starts since the All-Star Break. King got a little taste of the playoffs with the Yankees in 2020, throwing a couple of scoreless innings. King, who has a 0.00 ERA against the Braves, is supported by a loaded San Diego lineup. Rested and ready for this moment, I've got the Padres taking Game 1! |
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10-01-24 | Royals v. Orioles UNDER 7 | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
At 4:08 ET, my Wild-Card Total Of The Year is on KC/Baltimore under the total. These two starters are getting the call for Game 1 for a reason. Both had great seasons and both are red hot. Burnes came over to Baltimore in the off-season and immediately assumed the role of ace. He's been getting the job done all season long. Through 32 starts, he had a 2.92 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. In 5 September starts, he has a 1.20 ERA! Ragans also made 32 starts this season. He had a 3.14 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. He had a 2.30 ERA in his daytime starts and a 1.08 ERA in 4 September starts! As a matter of fact, Ragans is a perfect 6-0 to the under his past 6 starts. His last start was 0-0 after 9 innings and finished 1-0. Go with the Under. |
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09-30-24 | Mets v. Braves UNDER 7.5 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
At 1:10 ET, in Game 1 of the Double-header, my MLB TOW is on the Braves/Mets under the total. Sale will go in the second game for the Braves. He leads the league in wins, ERA and strikeouts, a pitcher's triple-crown. The Mets won't find the going much easier in the early game though. Spencer Schwellenbach has given up just one run in 14 innings in two starts against the Mets. Those 2 starts against the Mets, the first of which was a head-to head showdown vs. today's opponent Tyler Megill, both stayed below the total with scores of 5-1 and 4-0. His last 3 starts have all gone to the under. As a matter of fact, Schwellenbach is 16-3 to the under his last 19 starts! Megill is also in exemplary form. Over his past 5 starts, he's 2-0 with a ERA of 1.78 and 28 strikeouts in 25 innings. Go with the Under. |
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09-25-24 | Cardinals v. Rockies OVER 10 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 0 m | Show |
At 8:40pm ET, my MLB TOW is on the St. Louis Cardinals and Colorado Rockies Over. Two starts ago, Austin Gomber gave up 9 hits. Last start, he lasted only 2 innings and allowed 6 hits and 5 runs. Gomber also has a poor 6.55 ERA in 5 appearances versus the Cardinals. He allowed 4 runs in 5 innings against them in this season's only start. It finished with 13 runs. Erick Fedde has been strong at home but not on the road. Fedde has made 3 career starts at Colorado and all 3 produced at least 12 runs. None of those pesky Coors weather issues are in the forecast, it should be an excellent night for hitting. Play on the Over. |
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09-24-24 | Royals -162 v. Nationals | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 14 m | Show | |
At 6:45 ET, my Round Tripper selection is on the Kansas City Royals. Seven straight losses for the Royals. You better believe that yesterday's day off came at the right time! Still tied for the second wild-card spot, the Royals badly need to start winning. That starts today, with Cole Ragans on the mound. Ragans (11-9, 3.24 ERA) has had a great season and he is 1-0 with an exemplary 1.42 ERA in three September starts. Compare that to fellow southpaw Mitchell Parker who is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA in his past five starts. The Nationals are also really struggling. Unlike the Royals, they are short on talent and have nothing (besides pride and playing spoiler) to play for. KC outscores teams 4.61 to 4.06. Washington gets outscored by teams 4.76 to 4.09. Ragans will out-pitch the rookie and the Royals will get right. Play on KC. |
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09-21-24 | Giants v. Royals -145 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
At 5:10 ET, my I.L. GOM is on the Kansas City Royals. The Royals have been losing but this will be a prime spot for them to start winning again. Brady Singer has a 2.90 ERA and 1.11 WHIP at home this season. He's made 15 starts here and he's averaged 6 innings per. He's 7-3 with a 2.77 ERA in day games. Landen Roup has made 21 appearances but only 2 starts. This is his first road start ever. The Royals will make sure that it doesn't go well. Pitching an afternoon home game will bring out the best in Singer and the Royals will find the winning form which has eluded them all week. Play on KC. |
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09-20-24 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers OVER 7.5 | Top | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
At 8:10 ET, my MLB Total Of The Month is on the over in the Arizona/Milwaukee game. This total is too low. Rea is not in good form for the Brewers. As a matter of fact, he has a 10.13 ERA in 3 September starts. He has a 4.88 ERA since the All Star Break and a 6.82 ERA his past 7 starts. He has a 7.20 career ERA versus Arizona. His only start against the diamondbacks as a member of Milwaukee, resulted in a 7-5 final score. Six of his past 8 starts have finished with at least 9 runs. The Brewers just saw Gallen less than a week ago. They had 6 hits and scored 3 runs against him in 5 innings. Facing the same team twice in a row can be difficult and Gallen usually isn't quite as tough on the road. This game will get over the low number. Play on the Over. |
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09-18-24 | A's v. Cubs -163 | 5-3 | Loss | -163 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
At 2:20pm ET, my Early Riser selection is on the Chicago Cubs. After the Cubs won 9-2 on Monday, the Athletics took yesterday's game by a 4-3 margin. This afternoon's rubber game will go to the North Siders. Justin Steele won at Pittsburgh the last time he started, allowing 2 runs. Steele was brilliant in his last start at Wrigley. He struck out 10 against 0 walks in a 7-inning victory over the Tigers. Through 22 starts this season, Steele has a very solid 3.09 ERA and 1.09 WHIP. Steele is going to be happy to see Oakland. He's 3-0 with a 0.86 ERA in 7 starts versus American League teams this season. Four earned runs in the 7 starts combined! Basso has still only made 2 starts as he has bounced back and forth from the minors. He beat the White Sox last start but so does everybody. He'll be no match for Steele this afternoon. Play on Chicago. |
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09-17-24 | Tigers v. Royals -154 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -154 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
At 7:40pm ET, my #1 AL Central GOM is on Kansas City. Who do you think is currently leading the major leagues in strikeouts? If you wait until later this evening, the answer is likely going to be Cole Ragans! Certainly, the Royals starter will be #1 in the American League. Entering today's action, Sale has 219, Cease has 215, Skubal has 214 and Ragans has 211. Nobody else has hit the 200 mark. None of the other 3 pitch tonight but Ragans will face the Tigers. He's recorded 26 strikeouts his last 3 starts versus the Tigers, 12 in the game at KC. Ragans is more than just strikeouts. He wins. Ragans is 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA in 2 starts versus Detroit this year. The Royals are 9-4 in his last 13 home starts. Casey Mize is nowhere close. He is 2-6 on the season and he has a 5.05 road ERA and 1.61 WHIP with a .308 batting average against him. After blowing yesterday's lead, the Royals won't mess around tonight. Play on Kansas City. |
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09-11-24 | Rockies v. Tigers -182 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
At 6:40 ET, my Wednesday Wipeout is on the Detroit Tigers. Detroit is playing really well right now as it makes one last push to try and earn one of the AL wild-card spot, now sitting just three games behind Minnesota after last night's 11-0 win over the Rockies. I'm expecting Detroit to continue to build momentum here and to once again go on to destroy Colorado this evening. The visitors, who are a terrible road team at the best of times, go with Tanner Gordon, who has been called up to make this start out of necessity. Gordon is 0-5 with a 7.55 ERA and has made a total of seven big-league starts. Clearly, he's been thrown to the wolves in this spot. He'll be opposed by Casey Mize who is off a no-decision vs. the Padres, allowing three runs over six innings. Mize will make his third start since coming off the injured list and everything points to continued progression in my estimation. He's pitched much better than his record and now gets a favorable spot for a victory. Considering all of the above-listed factors, I definitely feel that the Tigers are worth the price of admission and expect them to once again lay a beating on their overmatched opponent. |
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09-10-24 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks -137 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 19 m | Show |
At 9:40pm ET, my I.L. GOW is on Arizona. Arizona has dropped to third in the NL West and into the second NL Wildcard spot behind the Padres, but they broke an untimely three-game slide with a 12-6 victory at Houston in its last outing. These teams both had Monday off, and now get ready to play a two-game IL series on Tuesday, and suffice it to say, I believe that Zac Gallen and the home side are well worth the price of admission in this spot. Gallen is 11-6 with a 3.69 ERA and he's off a gem and win over the Giants by going six scoreless and striking out eight. Gallen comes in on top form, having thrown six scoreless frames in two of his last three trips to the hill. He'll be opposed by Nate Eovaldi, who is 11-7 with a 3.55 ERA and who has been a consistent bright spot all season for the Rangers, but who is still just a pedestrian 4-4 with a 4.56 ERA on the road. As a team, the Rangers are only 29-40 on the road. Arizona is 39-31 at home. Remember, these starters faced each other in the World Series. This one means a lot to Gallen and to Arizona! All things considered, I feel this is a very reasonable price considering the circumstances. |
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09-04-24 | Nationals v. Marlins OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
At 6:40pm ET, my NL East TOM is on Miami/Washington over. When considering the inconsistent form of these two scheduled starters, I think that this total will eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The Nats turn to Matt Gore (8-11, 4.45 ERA,) who comes in off a victory over the Yankees, giving up two runs over six innings. So you know, it was just his second victory over his past 13 starts. Gore has been all over the map regarding his performance, especially on the road where he's just 2-6 with a 4.92 ERA. The home side counters with Valente Bellozo, who is 2-2 with a 4.32 ERA overall, but who enters off a brutal start vs. the Rockies, getting shelled for six runs off seven hits over four innings. Bellozo has now allowed 11 earned runs and six homers over his last two outings (11.2 innings.) This one has "over" written all over it. |
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09-03-24 | Cardinals +1.5 v. Brewers | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
At 7:40 ET, my Round-Tripper is on St. Louis on the run-line. Off a 9-3 loss at division leader Milwaukee yesterday and now 5.5 games back for the final NL Wildcard spot, I expect St. Louis to rally for a win Tuesday. Or, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to escape with the run-line "cover." St. Louis had won four of five before yesterday's setback. Milwaukee has a nine-game lead in the division and has now won six of its last seven. The Brewers are playing like a team possessed right now, but the Cards' season is on life support basically at this point. Winning has a tendency to lead to complacency and losing has a way of leading to motivation. Steven Matz is scheduled to get the call for the visitors. Matz will make his first big league start since May, having just been re-activated from the 60-day IL. With a successful re-hab under his belt, while he's in there, I think the veteran will be able to match the Brewers' Aaron Civale, who seems destined for regression after going seven scoreless vs. the Giants on Thursday. With a rejuvenated Matz matching his counterpart inning for inning, I'm going to play the visitors on the runline. |
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09-02-24 | Cardinals v. Brewers UNDER 8 | Top | 3-9 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
AT 2:10 ET, my NL Central TOM is on the Cardinals and Brewers Under. St. Louis just finished up winning two of three at the Yanks over the weekend, including a 14-7 win yesterday, while Milwaukee finally had its five-game win streak come to an end in yesterday's 4-3 setback at Cincinnati. The Cardinals are 11.5 games back of the Brewers for the division lead, but only 5.5 games back of the final NL Wildcard spot. They say that divisional contests are always the most important, and that's definitely the case here for St. Louis and Andre Pallante (6-6, 3.80 ERA), who allowed two runs over six innings in an unfortunate no-decision to the Padres in his last outing. Pallante has not conceded more than two runs in any of his last four starts. The under is 3-0 his last 3 starts and 13-7 his last 20. He'll have to be sharp here throwing opposite Freddy Peralta (9-7, 3.70), who went six scoreless and struck out eight in a win over the Giants on Wednesday. For the season he owns as sharp 172:56 K:BB. Peralta is 3-0-1 to the under his past 4 starts. With these two starters battling each other into the latter frames like I believe they will, the under is the correct call as far as the total is concerned in this one. |
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09-01-24 | Braves v. Phillies -135 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
At 7:10 ET, my NL East GOM is on Philadelphia. The Braves and Phillies wrap up an important divisional series on Sunday night and in my opinion, the home side could or should in fact be a much larger favorite. And the main reason is the scheduled starting pitching matchup. Atlanta's sure been playing well of late, but with the eyes of the baseball World on this game on Sunday night, the value here lies with Aaron Nola (12-6, 3.30 ERA) who enters off a great outing vs. the Astros, going seven scoreless and striking out six. Nola owns a sharp 153:43 K:BB over 166.1 innings of work and he's conceded just two runs over his last three outings spanning 19 frames. I respect Spencer Schwellenbach (5-6, 3.72) but I believe that he's in over his head here in this spot. Schwellenbach is coming off a decent start vs. the Twins, allowing no runs over 4.2 innings. He beat the Phillies last week but now they see him for the 2nd time in less than 2 weeks and the 3rd time this summer. That's the first time he will face the same opponent 3x. I say Nola at home in this spot is the correct call. Nola pitched against Fried last week and won 3-2. I love his chances here at home, where he is even better. Play on Philadelphia |
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08-31-24 | Blue Jays v. Twins -145 | Top | 15-0 | Loss | -145 | 11 h 23 m | Show |
At 7:10 ET, my HRC play is on Minnesota. When playing on the Twins in yesterday's 2-0 series opening victory, I stated the following: Toronto is off a win versus Boston last night. Minnesota recharged its batteries with a day off. Off 4 losses in a row, the Twins needed it. Now they will get back to the business of chasing down the Guardians and Royals. The Twins did gain a game on the Royals and they have now ended their losing streak. The break helped. Today they will make it 2 in a row and hope that they can get some help from Pittsburgh and Houston. Zebby Matthews is getting stronger every time out and he was sharp in his last start. The Blue Jays are last in their division and Berrios is 4-7 with a 4.67 ERA on the road. Play on Minnesota. |
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08-30-24 | Blue Jays v. Twins -150 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
AT 8:10 ET, my American League Game Of The Week is on Minnesota. Toronto is off a win versus Boston last night. Minnesota recharged its batteries with a day off. Off 4 losses in a row, the Twins needed it. Now they will get back to the business of chasing down the Guardians and Royals. Minnesota's last win came on August 24th, a 6-0 victory over the Cardinals. Red hot Pablo Lopez was on the mound that day. The Twins are happy that he's back out there today. Lopez has a 0.00 ERA his last 2 starts, 0 runs, in 13 innings. He is 4-1 with a 2.25 ERA in 7 starts since the All Star Break. Lopez was on the mound vs Gausman when these teams played in the postseason last year. Lopez was dealing and led Minnesota to its first playoff win since 2004. Lopez leads the way once again. Play on Minnesota. |
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08-29-24 | Mets v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
At 3:40 ET my Total Dominator, is on Mets/Arizona under the total. The Peterson/Nelson matchup will result in some quality pitching this afternoon. Peterson continues to shine brightly. He's been delivering gem after gem and is now 8-1 with a 2.85 ERA this season. Nelson has also been really good. He is 3-0 with a 2.91 ERA his last 7 starts. His last start here was a 3-2 final. Peterson's last road start was a 4-3 final. This game will also have that type of score. Play on the Under. |